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高盛:中国白酒_ 政策风险延长周期,拐点尚不明朗;下调四只股票评级
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-11 01:05
Investment Rating - The report downgrades four stocks: Fen Wine, Luzhou Laojiao, ZJLD to Neutral from Buy, and Anhui Gujing to Sell from Neutral, while maintaining Buy on Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye [9][36]. Core Insights - The current cycle for the spirits industry is likely prolonged due to the impact of the new austerity policy, with uncertainties on when the cycle will bottom out [1][14]. - The report anticipates policy headwinds to persist from 2Q25 to 2Q26, followed by a modest impact in 2H26 as improper dining restrictions for civil servants normalize [2][14]. - The spirits industry is expected to see a decline in total addressable market (TAM) by 10% to 14% in 2025-27E, with a forecasted decline of over 6% in 2025 and a -2% decline in 2026 [2][14]. Summary by Sections Risk Profiling - A policy impact ranking analysis indicates that upper mid-end and commercial banquet-focused products will face greater pressure, while Moutai is expected to remain resilient due to its gifting demand and limited exposure to government-related banquet consumption [2][12]. Earnings and Valuation Analysis - The report projects +1%/+5% aggregated topline growth for 2025/26E, down from previous estimates of +6%/+9%, with high-end spirits expected to grow by +5%/+5% and upper-mid-high end spirits facing declines of -10%/+2% [2][14]. - A bear case analysis suggests potential earnings downside risks of 6% to 18% for most spirits names compared to the base case [2][14]. Industry Growth Forecast - The spirits industry growth forecast has been revised down to a greater than 6% decline in 2025 and a -2% decline in 2026, compared to prior forecasts of +4%/+3% growth [2][14]. - The report highlights that the spirits industry has been consolidating, with leading players gaining market share, particularly in the super premium segment [2][25]. Company-Specific Insights - Moutai's wholesale price stability is supported by various measures, and the report suggests that a price below RMB 1,800 could hurt distributor profits, leading to market volatility [8][14]. - The report revises down sales and net profit estimates for various companies, including a 1% to 19% reduction for most names, reflecting the impact of the new policy [36][37].
All-In Tequila: The Origin Story
All-In Podcast· 2025-07-09 17:03
I think the tequila turned out fantastic. You guys realize when we first started talking about this, this was like two and a half almost three years ago and it is finally here. It took forever to get through this kind of design development process, but man, I think it turned out great.Talk a little bit about the sourcing. Well, we went down to Tequila, Mexico. There's only one part of Mexico that's even allowed to be called tequila.And we found a distillery that had been aging some agave in American oak whi ...
MDWerks’ Two Trees Beverage Subsidiary Receives Three 2025 SIP Awards
Globenewswire· 2025-07-09 12:30
GREEN COVE SPRINGS, Fla., July 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- MDWerks, Inc. (“MDWerks” or the “Company”) (OTCQB: MDWK), a forward-thinking company leading the charge in the world of sustainable technology, today announced that its subsidiary, Two Trees Beverage Company (“Two Trees”), received three 2025 SIP Awards, including a Silver Medal and an Innovation Award for Tim Smith’s Climax Honey Raspberry Flavored Whiskey™ as well as a Silver Medal for Two Trees Snarly Yow Bourbon Whiskey™. The prestigious SIP Aw ...
GLOB & Suntory Global Spirits Launch AI Commercial Insights Agent
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 13:11
Core Insights - Globant S.A. has partnered with Suntory Global Spirits to launch an AI-powered Commercial Insights Agent that enhances decision-making and strategy execution in real-time, significantly reducing analysis time from days to seconds [1][11] Group 1: AI Implementation and Capabilities - The Commercial Insights Agent aims to streamline the process for commercial teams by eliminating reliance on business intelligence teams, thus reducing wait times and operational costs [2] - This AI solution allows teams in sales, marketing, and product management to independently explore data and gain real-time insights, breaking down silos and accelerating execution speed [3] - The agent not only retrieves data but also provides contextual recommendations based on Suntory's internal data, offering tailored responses for specific business contexts [4] Group 2: Future Applications and Strategic Vision - Suntory plans to use the AI agent as a foundation for other applications, including brand planning optimization, commercial forecasting, and innovation pipeline management, positioning itself as an AI-first company [5] - The adoption of generative AI is expected to enhance agility and insight-driven growth, aligning with Globant's vision of an AI-powered enterprise where intelligent software agents improve business processes [6] Group 3: Company Performance and Market Conditions - Globant reported a 7% year-over-year growth in the last quarter, driven by AI-related opportunities and a focus on maximizing value from its top 100 clients through cross-industry innovation [8] - Despite this growth, the company faces challenges from a tough macroeconomic environment, including increased recession risks in the U.S., decreased consumer spending, and slower pipeline conversion [9]
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits _ Half-year review of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits’ liquidity contract
Globenewswire· 2025-07-02 16:26
Charenton-le-Pont, July 2, 2025 Half-year review of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits’ liquidity contract Under Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits’ liquidity contract with Natixis Oddo BHF, the liquidity account contained the following assets at 30 June 2025: 92466 shares of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits46433,38 Euros in cash For reference, at the time the contract was established on 29 June 2018, the account held the following assets: 75528 shares of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits380177,12 Euros in cash Over the period ...
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits_Monthly declaration of the total number of voting rights and shares
Globenewswire· 2025-07-02 15:48
Group 1 - The total number of shares comprising the share capital of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 111,989,823 [1] - The total number of voting rights is 194,058,155 [1] - The number of exercisable voting rights, after deduction of treasury shares, is 193,925,523 [1][3] Group 2 - The by-laws of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits SA include a clause requiring disclosure of the crossing of any statutory thresholds in addition to those relating to legal thresholds [1]
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits Description of the share buyback programme authorised by the Ordinary General Meeting of 26 June 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-06-26 16:18
Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the share buyback programme authorized by the Ordinary General Meeting of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits, detailing its objectives, terms, and conditions for the buyback of shares [1][3]. Group 1: Share Buyback Programme Details - The share buyback programme aims to promote liquidity in transactions, retain shares for future market use, cover employee stock options, facilitate the delivery of shares related to securities, and potentially cancel shares [5][6]. - The maximum number of shares that can be repurchased is 11,059,240, which represents 9.88% of the company's share capital, with a potential increase to 10% if treasury shares are sold or utilized [4][6]. - The maximum purchase price for the shares is set at €6, leading to a theoretical maximum expenditure of €67,193,892 if all shares are bought back at this price [5]. Group 2: Duration and Reporting - The buyback programme is scheduled to last for 18 months, concluding on 26 November 2026, with the company committed to informing the public of any significant changes during this period [7]. - The company currently holds 139,742 treasury shares, which is 0.12% of its total share capital of 111,989,823 shares [2]. Group 3: Company Overview - Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is a wine and spirits group with a strong presence in Europe and the United States, known for its innovative spirit and a portfolio of well-established brands [9]. - The company is listed on Compartment B of Euronext Paris and is part of the EnterNext© PEA-PME 150 index [10].
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-06-12 00:45
The top bars, bartenders, brand ambassadors and spirits writers will be honored at the annual Tales of the Cocktail festival in New Orleans this July. (Photos: Bar Leone, Equiano Rum, Jason Varney) https://t.co/2odD28uVuh https://t.co/Qu61xW4PhE ...
Andrew Peller Limited Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Dividend
Globenewswire· 2025-06-11 18:30
GRIMSBY, Ontario, June 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Board of Directors of Andrew Peller Limited (ADW.A / ADW.B) (the “Company”) announced today that it has approved a quarterly common share dividend of $0.0615 per Class A Share and $0.0535 per Class B Share to be paid on July 11, 2025 to shareholders of record on June 30, 2025. The Company has consistently paid common share dividends since 1979. The Company currently designates all dividends paid as “eligible dividends” for purposes of the Income Tax Ac ...
中国必需消费品:5月检查及消费品公司日总结:政策波动与通缩下渠道转变的崎岖之路
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-11 02:50
11 June 2025 | 12:11AM HKT China Consumer Staples: May Check In and Consumer Corp. Day Wrap: A bumpy road with policy swings, channel shift amid deflation We hosted multiple staple companies at our Consumer & Leisure Corporate Day and performed channel checks in the past weeks. We are seeing a bumpy road of demand recovery and still largely slow 2Q-to-date run-rates across staples sub-sectors, esp. for spirits, beer, and dairy. Recent policy tightening in alcohol consumption by government officers and civil ...