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华大智造(688114):基因测序国之重器 AI赋能智慧飞跃
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-15 04:33
Investment Logic - The company is deeply engaged in the gene sequencing field, with three main segments driving revenue growth. It is a rare domestic gene sequencer enterprise that has achieved core technology autonomy, with a product matrix covering full throughput and multiple scenarios, matching the technical level of international giants. The company is also expanding into laboratory automation and new businesses (BIT, ultrasound imaging, etc.), creating a comprehensive life science core tool product matrix that drives revenue growth from multiple angles. From 2017 to 2022, the company's revenue achieved an average annual compound growth of nearly 40%, and after the emergency demand disturbances gradually clear, revenue is expected to reach 3.013 billion yuan in 2024 (yoy +3.48%), with a narrowing of net profit losses, demonstrating resilience in performance [1]. Global Market Opportunities - The global gene sequencing market share is steadily increasing, and changes in the unreliable entity list are expected to bring significant opportunities, further expanding the company's growth space. The company, leveraging its product and brand strength, continues to accelerate global installations, with a market share exceeding 50% in newly tendered domestic markets in 2024, ranking first, and a global market share of 7.1%, with over 1,260 new installations. In March 2025, the Ministry of Commerce listed Illumina on the unreliable entity list, restricting its sales of sequencing equipment in the Chinese market, which presents a historic opportunity for domestic gene sequencer enterprises. The company, with its autonomous technology and supply chain system, as well as a full throughput and diversified product matrix, is expected to become a preferred alternative for research institutions, medical institutions, and third-party gene testing service providers. It is estimated that by 2025, the market space for instruments and reagent consumables will be 1.5 billion yuan and 2.3 billion yuan, respectively, and will reach 1.8 billion yuan and 5.4 billion yuan by 2030, which is 4-5 times the current business scale. In overseas markets, as patent litigation concludes, the company is rapidly increasing its installation and revenue scale in overseas regions and advancing localization in Asia-Pacific, Europe, and Africa, facilitating overseas market expansion [2]. AI Integration and Business Expansion - The company is building an "AI + BT + IT" intelligent sequencing ecosystem to enhance product value and company performance. It actively embraces AI technology transformation, integrating AI models such as DeepSeek-R1 and Evo 2 into αCube, providing comprehensive support for multi-omics and high-throughput sequencing needs. Additionally, AI technology is empowering instrument performance upgrades, launching laboratory intelligent automation (GLI) business and αLab, catering to demands in gene sequencing, synthetic biology, and other fields, thus aiding terminal applications and business expansion, opening up new growth trajectories [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company is a leading domestic gene sequencer with core technology autonomy, presenting a rare investment opportunity. The rapid development of gene sequencing business, coupled with Illumina's export restrictions to China, creates a historic opportunity for the company. The domestic market space is expected to expand again, while overseas market share is steadily increasing. Additionally, the laboratory automation business and new ventures are rapidly climbing, likely driving revenue and profit growth. Furthermore, in comparison to international giants like Tempus AI, the company's AI sequencing business ecosystem is expected to synergize with BGI's layout advantages, enhancing product added value and potentially leading to valuation premiums. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.585 billion yuan, 4.184 billion yuan, and 4.936 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.01%, 16.69%, and 17.98%, respectively. Net profit is projected to be 29 million yuan, 104 million yuan, and 219 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 104.79%, 262.33%, and 110.26%, respectively, marking the first coverage with a "recommended" rating [4].