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ServiceNow:生成式人工智能熊市或将到来
美股研究社· 2025-08-04 12:45
Core Viewpoint - ServiceNow has demonstrated exceptional execution and resilience against growth slowdown, positioning itself as a leader in the software industry with strong GAAP profitability, although analysts express concerns about the overall software sector outlook due to potential negative impacts from generative AI [1][3][15]. Financial Performance - In the most recent quarter, ServiceNow's subscription revenue grew by 22% year-over-year, reaching $3.113 billion, exceeding the highest forecast of $3.035 billion by 2.6% [6]. - The current remaining performance obligation (RPO) increased by 24.5% year-over-year, surpassing both the previous year and the last quarter's growth of 22% [7]. - The non-GAAP operating margin was reported at 29.5%, exceeding the expected 27%, while the company maintained profitability on a GAAP basis [8]. - The company ended the quarter with $10.7 billion in cash and investments against $1.5 billion in debt, indicating a strong net cash balance sheet [10]. Future Guidance - Management anticipates a 20.5% year-over-year growth in subscription revenue for Q3, slightly raising the full-year growth forecast to 20% [10]. - For Q3 2025, subscription revenues are projected between $3.260 billion and $3.265 billion, reflecting a growth of 20% to 20.5% [11]. - Full-year 2025 subscription revenue guidance is set at $12.775 billion to $12.795 billion, maintaining a growth rate of 20% [11]. Market Position and Valuation - ServiceNow's stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 55, with a projected P/E ratio of about 13 by 2034 [12]. - Analysts have noted that the company's growth expectations are more favorable compared to its peers, which appear to be reaching their peak [14]. - Despite the strong performance, the high valuation raises concerns about potential stock price declines, especially with the anticipated impact of generative AI on the software industry [15][16].