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Robinhood Stock To $230?
Forbes· 2025-08-14 09:45
Core Viewpoint - Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) has the potential to see its stock price increase from $115 to $230 in the coming years, supported by strong earnings momentum, a growing customer base, and significant opportunities in the cryptocurrency sector [2][11]. Revenue Growth - HOOD's revenues have surged from $280 million in 2019 to approximately $2.9 billion in 2024, reflecting an annual growth rate of nearly 60% [3]. - The company is projected to achieve around $4 billion in revenue for 2025, with consensus forecasts indicating about 35% revenue growth [3]. - Revenues could rise from a projected $4 billion in FY'25 to roughly $7.3 billion by FY'27, representing an increase exceeding 82% [4]. Customer Base Expansion - Robinhood has experienced robust user growth, with funded accounts increasing by 2.3 million last quarter to total 26.5 million, and platform assets nearly doubling year-over-year to $279 billion [5]. - The company is targeting a predominantly young demographic, positioning itself to benefit from a substantial wealth transfer from older generations to millennials and Gen Z over the next two decades [7]. Cryptocurrency Sector - Crypto revenues skyrocketed 98% last quarter to $160 million, nearing six consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth [6]. - The acquisition of Bitstamp enhances Robinhood's operations in the crypto space, providing access to over 50 active licenses and improving its lending and staking infrastructure [6]. Margin Improvement - HOOD's adjusted net margins are on an upward trajectory, increasing from negative levels in FY'21 to about 35% in FY'24, driven by high-margin revenue channels [8]. - Margins could potentially climb further to approximately 40%, leading to earnings of around $2.9 billion by merging these margins with projected revenues of $7.3 billion [9]. Valuation and Earnings Potential - If earnings grow 2.9x, the price-to-earnings multiple may contract from approximately 60x to a more plausible 40x, reflecting investor confidence in HOOD's future [10]. - This scenario supports the possibility of HOOD stock reaching levels near $230 within the next few years, with a timeline of around two to three years for this growth trajectory [11].