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龙净环保(600388):刚果(金)水电项目双高带来高盈利能力
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-09-15 11:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Longking Environmental [2] Core Views - The report highlights the high profitability potential of the Congo (DRC) hydropower projects, specifically the Kailangeng hydropower station and the Mami Cuo energy station [5] - The company is expected to see significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 11.64 billion, 14.25 billion, and 16.66 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 14.33x, 11.70x, and 10.01x [5] Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024A: 10,019.42 million - 2025E: 11,807.95 million (17.85% growth) - 2026E: 13,221.30 million (11.97% growth) - 2027E: 14,701.36 million (11.19% growth) [6] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024A: 830.40 million - 2025E: 1,163.96 million (40.17% growth) - 2026E: 1,425.03 million (22.43% growth) - 2027E: 1,666.14 million (16.92% growth) [6] - **Gross Margin**: - Expected to remain stable around 25% from 2024 to 2027, with slight increases [6] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 0.65 - 2025E: 0.92 - 2026E: 1.12 - 2027E: 1.31 [6] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2024A: 20.08 - 2025E: 14.33 - 2026E: 11.70 - 2027E: 10.01 [6] Project Highlights - **Kailangeng Hydropower Project**: - Investment of approximately 3.99 billion USD (28.42 billion RMB) - Expected annual generation of 714 million kWh with a high utilization rate of 5,100 hours [5] - Power purchase agreements ensure 90% of electricity is sold to Zijin Mining at a competitive rate of approximately 0.16 USD/kWh [5] - **Mami Cuo Energy Station**: - Expected to begin operations in Q2 2026 with a competitive settlement price of 0.7 RMB/kWh - The project aims to support lithium-boron mining operations in a remote area [5]