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内容与平台“一体两翼”战略驱动飞轮效应,持续稳健增长的腾讯音乐-SW或迎配置良机
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 11:20
Core Viewpoint - The continuous strengthening of China's capital market has led to a deepening re-evaluation of the value of quality assets, with industry leaders like Tencent Music being a focal point for investors due to their robust growth trends demonstrated in recent financial reports [1] Financial Performance - Tencent Music reported total revenue of 8.46 billion RMB for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.6%, and a non-IFRS net profit of 2.48 billion RMB, up 27.7% year-on-year, indicating a strong and stable growth trajectory [1] - The online music subscription business showed particularly strong performance, with paid user numbers increasing by 5.6% to 125.7 million and average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) rising by 10.2% to 11.9 RMB, contributing to a 17.2% increase in subscription revenue to 4.5 billion RMB [1] Growth Drivers - Tencent Music's growth is driven by its "one body, two wings" strategy, which focuses on deepening user value rather than merely expanding user scale, enhancing platform attractiveness and user willingness to pay [2][9] - The company has been actively introducing diverse and global content, enhancing its international influence, and hosting a series of concerts for well-known artists to boost content services [2][3] Non-Subscription Business Expansion - Tencent Music has innovated its advertising services and marketing models, exemplified by the "Sprite Cool" national campus music competition, which successfully engaged young consumers and deepened brand connections [5] - The platform has upgraded its features to provide immersive and engaging user experiences, optimizing its multi-tier membership system to cater to diverse user needs [5] Long-Term Growth Potential - The company is expected to maintain a clear growth path, with increasing user willingness to pay and significant market potential yet to be tapped, particularly among the post-2000 generation [8][9] - Tencent Music's ARPPU is anticipated to continue rising, supported by its differentiated content and services, particularly from SVIP users [9] Market Recognition - Tencent Music's consistent growth has garnered positive recognition from numerous financial institutions, with analysts from firms like CICC and Goldman Sachs raising their profit forecasts and target prices for the company [10][11] - The company's robust financial performance and sustainable growth in non-subscription revenue have led to an upward adjustment in long-term revenue growth expectations [11]