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中金:全球医疗器械哪些增长点值得关注?
智通财经网· 2025-10-24 01:29
Group 1 - The global medical device market is expected to reach $862.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5% from 2025E to 2030E, driven by factors such as aging population, rising chronic disease prevalence, medical technology advancements, policy support, and improved healthcare systems [1] - In 2025, the market share distribution is projected as follows: North America (32%), Europe (25%), China (8%), Asia-Pacific (19%), Latin America (11%), and Middle East & Africa (5%) [1] - The market segments are expected to be distributed as follows: high-value consumables (32%), low-value consumables (12%), medical imaging equipment (12%), in vitro diagnostics (13%), and others (31%) [1] Group 2 - The valuation of leading global medical device companies shows significant differentiation, with high-growth segments enjoying P/E ratios between 31-57x for 2025E, while mature platform companies typically have P/E ratios of 13-18x for 2025E [2] - The core reason for valuation differentiation is the market's varying expectations for future growth and the technological barriers/sustainable advantages within specific segments [2] Group 3 - Eight key segments identified for potential growth include electrophysiology, renal denervation (RDN), complex vascular interventions, structural heart, neuroscience, surgical robotics, endoscopy, and glucose management [3] - These segments are expected to experience upgrades in procedures or product iterations, or may open up untapped markets through new technologies, leading to significant commercialization opportunities [3] - High-growth leaders in these segments may enjoy long-term premium valuations due to their high barriers to entry, while traditional giants may boost performance and valuation through significant product launches [3]