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拓邦股份(002139):基本盘稳固,海外市场加速拓展
Western Securities· 2025-11-04 13:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will exceed the market benchmark by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [4][10]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of 2.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 90 million yuan, down 44.7% year-on-year and 32.2% quarter-on-quarter. For the first three quarters, total revenue reached 8.19 billion yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 23.9% [1][4]. - The gross margin is under short-term pressure due to increased tariffs and intensified industry competition. The gross margin for the first three quarters was 22%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 5.1%, down 2.1 percentage points year-on-year. The increase in comprehensive expense ratio to 16.2% is attributed to stock incentive expenses and growth in R&D and marketing investments [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets and new business areas, including digital energy, smart automotive, and robotics, which are expected to drive future growth [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023 at 8.99 billion yuan, 2024 at 10.50 billion yuan, 2025 at 11.16 billion yuan, 2026 at 12.56 billion yuan, and 2027 at 14.33 billion yuan, with growth rates of 1.3%, 16.8%, 6.3%, 12.5%, and 14.1% respectively [3][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 516 million yuan in 2023, 671 million yuan in 2024, 620 million yuan in 2025, 851 million yuan in 2026, and 1.08 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -11.5%, 30.2%, -7.7%, 37.2%, and 26.9% respectively [3][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.41 yuan in 2023, 0.54 yuan in 2024, 0.50 yuan in 2025, 0.68 yuan in 2026, and 0.87 yuan in 2027 [3][9].