Core Viewpoint - The rising costs of raw materials and adjustments in vehicle purchase tax policies are likely to trigger a new round of reshuffling in the electric vehicle (EV) industry [2][24]. Group 1: Raw Material Price Increases - Gold prices have surged to $4,200 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 50% [3]. - Silver has also reached a 45-year high, with industrial demand accounting for 59% of total silver demand, driven by sectors like photovoltaics and electric vehicles [7][9]. - Copper prices have risen nearly 20% this year, with a projected demand of 200,000 tons for EVs by 2025, significantly higher than traditional vehicles [6][10]. Group 2: Impact on Electric Vehicle Manufacturing - The rising prices of silver and copper will have a long-term impact on the manufacturing costs of EVs, with copper usage in electric vehicles being five times that of traditional fuel vehicles [11][10]. - The cost of key battery materials like lithium, cobalt, and nickel is also on the rise, with cobalt prices increasing from 159,000 yuan per ton to 337,000 yuan per ton due to supply restrictions [15][17]. - Aluminum prices have reached over $2,780 per ton, with demand for aluminum in vehicle manufacturing expected to exceed 10 million tons this year [18]. Group 3: Policy Changes and Market Dynamics - The end of the vehicle purchase tax exemption for EVs by December 31, 2025, will increase the final price of vehicles by approximately 5% [24][30]. - The tightening of technical requirements for EVs may lead to the exit of less competitive models from the market, potentially reducing consumer choices in the short term [30][38]. - The combination of rising raw material costs and policy changes may lead to a price increase for EVs, with manufacturers likely to adopt strategies such as reducing features to maintain competitiveness [36][37].