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财报前瞻 | 奈飞(NFLX.US)Q2财报即将出炉:广告增长与体育直播能否助推股价走高?
智通财经网· 2025-07-14 07:08
Core Viewpoint - Netflix is expected to report strong revenue growth driven by its ad-supported subscription model and sports live content, despite facing valuation concerns from analysts [1][4]. Group 1: Revenue Growth - Analysts project Q2 revenue to be approximately $11.048 billion, representing a 15.6% year-over-year increase [1]. - Pre-tax profit is anticipated to reach $3.55 billion, up 41% year-over-year [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise to $7.07, exceeding the previous quarter's $6.61 [1]. Group 2: Ad-Supported Subscription Model - The ad-supported subscription model launched in 2022 has become a significant revenue source, with active users reaching 94 million by early 2025, up from 40 million the previous year [2]. - Netflix aims to double its ad revenue by the end of fiscal 2025 and plans to reach $9 billion by fiscal 2030 [2]. Group 3: Sports Live Content and Diversification - Netflix is increasing its investment in sports live content, including WWE and NFL events, as part of its strategy to diversify content offerings and attract a broader audience [3]. - The expansion into sports live streaming marks a significant shift from traditional on-demand content [3]. Group 4: Analyst Opinions and Valuation Concerns - Some analysts express caution regarding Netflix's high valuation, with recent downgrades from "buy" to "neutral" due to anticipated growth being largely reflected in current stock prices [4]. - Despite this, the majority of analysts maintain "strong buy" or "buy" ratings based on data from the London Stock Exchange Group [4]. Group 5: Investment Considerations and Future Outlook - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming earnings report for insights into Netflix's performance and future prospects, particularly regarding ad revenue growth and content expansion [5]. - The competitive landscape in the streaming market remains intense, necessitating a balance between content investment and profitability goals [5]. Group 6: Stock Price Technical Analysis - As of last Friday, Netflix's stock price was $1,245.11, with potential to reach $1,500 if it breaks recent historical highs [6]. - The short-term upward trend will continue as long as the support range from early May (between $1,180.61 and $1,159.44) holds [6]. - The long-term bullish trend remains intact as long as the stock price stays above the April low of $821.10 [6].