投资孵化(EFS)业务

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 维亚生物(01873):更新报告:CRO快速恢复,CDMO爆发在即
 ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-10-27 11:54
 Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]   Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 15.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 832 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.3% to 122 million yuan [1] - The CRO business showed a recovery with a revenue increase of 9.6% year-on-year, driven by strong domestic market performance and advancements in AI and new molecular modalities [2] - The CDMO business faced short-term challenges with a revenue drop of 31.4% year-on-year, but significant commercial projects are expected to drive growth starting in 2026 [3] - The investment incubation (EFS) business is entering a harvest phase, contributing cash returns of approximately 76.5 million yuan [4] - The overall gross margin improved significantly to 40.8%, reflecting operational efficiency and revenue structure optimization [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.886 billion, 2.237 billion, and 2.688 billion yuan, with corresponding net profit estimates of 244 million, 323 million, and 422 million yuan [6]   Summary by Sections  Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 832 million yuan, a decrease of 15.3% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 122 million yuan, an increase of 4.3% [1]   CRO Business - The CRO segment generated revenue of 423 million yuan, up 9.6% year-on-year, with domestic market revenue increasing by 46.6% [2]   CDMO Business - The CDMO segment reported revenue of 409 million yuan, down 31.4% year-on-year, primarily due to facility upgrades and geopolitical supply chain disruptions [3]   Investment Incubation (EFS) Business - The EFS business generated cash returns of nearly 76.5 million yuan through exits from incubated companies, with a total of 93 startups in the portfolio [4]   Profitability - The overall gross margin reached 40.8%, a significant increase of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year, with the CRO business achieving a gross margin of 46% [5]   Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.886 billion, 2.237 billion, and 2.688 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 244 million, 323 million, and 422 million yuan [6]
