持续葡萄糖监测(CGM)系统

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华鑫证券:首次覆盖三诺生物给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-29 14:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Sanofi Bio's performance meets expectations, with a stable market position and potential for accelerated growth in Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) products [1][2][3] - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 4.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.47%, and a net profit of 326 million yuan, up 14.73% [1] - The company holds nearly 50% market share in the retail blood glucose product market, with over 22 million users and partnerships with more than 4,000 distributors and nearly 600 chain pharmacies [1] Group 2 - The company is advancing its international strategy, with a seven-year distribution agreement signed with A.MENARINI DIAGNOSTICS covering over 20 countries and regions [2] - The CGM product has entered a critical review phase after passing FDA 510(k) acceptance [2] - The second-generation CGM product has received Class III NMPA registration, featuring improved accuracy and stability compared to the first generation, with a monitoring error rate (MARD) of 8.71% [3] Group 3 - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 4.887 billion, 5.572 billion, and 6.129 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.71, 0.94, and 1.14 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 30.9, 23.4, and 19.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company is expected to see significant growth in the US market following CGM product approvals [4]