数据仓库和数据湖产品
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Snowflake 的增长势头恢复,但火车已经离开车站
美股研究社· 2025-10-21 11:18
Core Viewpoint - Snowflake (SNOW) has emerged as a true winner in the AI sector, overcoming previous concerns regarding its revenue growth in the context of generative AI [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Snowflake's product revenue grew by 32% year-over-year, reaching $1.09 billion, significantly up from 26% growth in the previous quarter and exceeding guidance of $1.035 to $1.04 billion [5]. - The company's net revenue retention rate has rebounded for the first time since 2023 [6]. - Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 11%, surpassing the guidance of 8%, although the company is still not GAAP profitable and lags behind other large tech peers [9]. - As of the end of the quarter, Snowflake held $3.6 billion in cash and $1 billion in long-term investments, with convertible debt totaling $2.3 billion, indicating a strong net cash balance sheet [10]. Future Guidance - Management expects third-quarter product revenue to be between $1.125 billion and $1.13 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 25% to 26% [10]. - For the entire fiscal year, product revenue is projected to grow by 27% to $4.395 billion, up from the previous guidance of $4.325 billion, with non-GAAP operating margin guidance raised from 8% to 9% [10]. Market Position and Valuation - Approximately 50% of new customer contracts are related to AI, with about 25% of deployed use cases utilizing AI features weekly [13][14]. - Snowflake's price-to-sales ratio stands at 18 times, which is significantly higher than the average of around 8 times for quality software companies, reflecting market expectations of sustained revenue growth between 18% and 24% over the coming years [16]. - The investment logic appears attractive, as Snowflake operates on a usage-based pricing model, suggesting that data growth will drive revenue growth [18]. Investor Sentiment - There is a growing concern regarding the market's complacency in tech stock valuations, despite Snowflake's strong performance and position as a leading player in the AI space [19].