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里昂:削新秀丽(01910)目标价至22港元 维持“高度确信跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-13 07:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citibank has downgraded Samsonite's (01910) full-year sales forecast to a 6% year-on-year decline and adjusted net profit forecast to a 25% year-on-year decline, reflecting the short-term weakness in the travel industry [1] - The target price for Samsonite has been reduced from HKD 30 to HKD 22, considering the low valuation and potential future improvements, as well as the revaluation opportunities brought by the upcoming dual listing [1] - Citibank expects that Samsonite's sales in the second quarter will decline by 6% year-on-year at constant exchange rates, which is a further deterioration from the 5% decline in the first quarter, primarily due to weakened travel demand [1] Group 2 - The report anticipates that Samsonite's gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin will remain at 59% and 16.6% respectively in the second quarter, roughly stable quarter-on-quarter [1] - It is believed that improvements may occur in the third quarter due to low base effects and a rebound in traveler numbers [1] - Prior to the second quarter earnings release, the company has lowered its revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 7% to 10%, adjusted EBITDA forecasts by 18% to 19%, and adjusted net profit forecasts by 23% to 28%, reflecting traveler pressures and tariff uncertainties [1]