日本实物黄金交易所交易基金
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The Gold Selloff Deepens. A ‘Sword of Damocles’ Is Hanging Over the Yellow Metal.
Barrons· 2025-11-04 19:04
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is facing a potential correction as prices approach a 10% decline from recent peaks, influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve interest rate policies and potential changes in Japan's monetary stance [2][3][7]. Market Dynamics - Gold prices have recently traded as low as $3,937.10, with a critical threshold at $3,923.46 for entering correction territory, following a peak of $4,359.40 on October 20 [3][7]. - The Federal Reserve's indication of no further interest rate cuts in December has made other investment assets more appealing compared to gold, impacting demand [4][6][7]. International Influences - Japan's potential shift from ultralow interest rates could significantly affect gold demand, as a stronger yen may deter Japanese investors from purchasing gold as a hedge [8][10]. - The Japan Physical Gold exchange-traded fund has seen inflows of ¥327 billion (over $2 billion), the highest for a comparable period since 2010, while U.S.-listed gold ETFs have attracted $41 billion in inflows, surpassing the previous record [9]. Investor Sentiment - The current market sentiment reflects concerns over inflation and interest rates, which could lead to a decline in gold's attractiveness as an investment [5][6][10].