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绿建开启万亿蓝海
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-24 10:45
Core Insights - The landscape of green building is shifting, with China surpassing Germany in innovation and implementation, as noted by Berthold Kaufmann, the executive director of the Passive House Institute [1] - The evaluation criteria for real estate are evolving from location and size to air quality, comfort, and energy efficiency, marking a significant change in the industry [1] - A substantial market opportunity is emerging, with estimates suggesting a direct market size of approximately 1.76 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period due to green building standards, and a potential market size of up to 215 billion yuan for existing building renovations by the end of 2025 [1] Policy and Demand Dynamics - The market's growth is driven by strong policy enforcement, including mandatory standards for ultra-low energy buildings and increased financial subsidies for existing building renovations [3][4] - Post-pandemic, there is heightened public awareness of health, leading to a shift in demand towards "smart health residences," transforming them from a luxury to a core necessity [4] Market Opportunities - The green building sector encompasses various opportunities, from green materials and energy-saving systems to digital management services throughout the building's lifecycle, each representing potential billion-yuan markets [4] - The building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) market alone is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2030, highlighting the vast potential within the broader construction industry [2] Competitive Landscape - New challengers in the market are adopting innovative approaches, such as Longfor's strategy of offering high-value green building technology as a service, maintaining a double-digit gross margin [5] - Aurore's "space house" integrates life-support technologies from aerospace, aiming for self-sufficiency in extreme environments, which has garnered international recognition [5] - Leading real estate companies like Poly, China Overseas, and China Resources are aligning on the "good house" strategy, focusing on safety, comfort, sustainability, and intelligence as core dimensions [5] Future Outlook - The future of leading companies will hinge on creating a service ecosystem around physical spaces, emphasizing health, safety, and sustainability [6] - Successful companies will need to integrate high-quality construction (hardware), intelligent systems (software), and health management (services) to thrive in the evolving market [6] - The transition from developers to "lifetime service providers" will define the future of living and determine the winners in this trillion-yuan market [6]