氟苯虫酰胺等)
Search documents
农药:出口退税政策调整+国内反内卷+海外补库,农药行业景气度有望修复
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-19 13:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural chemicals industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 6 months [1]. Core Insights - The adjustment of export tax rebate policies, domestic anti-competition measures, and overseas inventory replenishment are expected to restore the agricultural chemicals industry's prosperity [1]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for certain pesticide products is likely to lead to short-term price increases and long-term elimination of outdated production capacity [4]. - The report highlights that the agricultural chemicals industry is at a turning point, with a recovery in demand supported by seasonal factors and overseas replenishment cycles [4]. Industry Trends - The agricultural chemicals industry has experienced a significant downturn, but recent actions by leading companies to control production capacity are expected to stabilize prices [4]. - The report notes that the capacity utilization rates for major pesticide categories are low, ranging from 30% to 60%, indicating room for recovery [4]. - The upcoming spring farming season in China is anticipated to boost demand for agricultural chemicals, as the peak production period for pesticides occurs from February to May [4]. Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include: - Yangnong Chemical, recognized as a leading player in the agricultural chemicals sector with a comprehensive product range [4]. - Runfeng Co., known for its extensive overseas marketing network and numerous international registrations [4]. - Lier Chemical, a leader in specific pesticide categories [4]. - Jiangshan Chemical and Guoguang Co., both recognized for their strong positions in various pesticide markets [4].