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数据不称心特朗普就炒人,舆论炸了:未来美国统计机构公信力何在
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-02 07:24
Core Viewpoint - The recent dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) director, Erica McEntyre, by President Trump following disappointing employment data raises concerns about the integrity and independence of U.S. economic data [1][3][4]. Group 1: Employment Data and Reactions - The BLS reported only 73,000 new jobs added in July, significantly below market expectations, and revised down the previous two months' data by a total of 258,000 jobs [1][3]. - Trump's immediate response was to label the data as "manipulated" and to fire McEntyre, indicating a belief that the data was politically biased against him and the Republican Party [3][4]. - The dismissal has sparked outrage among economists and market participants, who worry about the future credibility of U.S. economic statistics [1][4][13]. Group 2: Implications for Data Integrity - Critics argue that Trump's actions undermine the BLS's long-standing commitment to independence and non-partisanship, which is crucial for public and market trust in economic data [4][5]. - The BLS has historically maintained its work as independent, and politicizing the agency could damage the entire federal statistical system that has been in place for nearly 150 years [5][13]. - The low response rates in employment surveys and budget cuts to the BLS have contributed to the inaccuracies in employment data, leading to significant revisions [9][10][12]. Group 3: Broader Economic Context - The economic data's credibility has been questioned, with some suggesting that strong data may have previously exaggerated the health of the U.S. economy, potentially benefiting Trump's policies [9]. - The BLS has faced challenges such as budget cuts and staff shortages, which have worsened under Trump's administration, impacting the quality of data collection [9][10]. - The low response rates from businesses in employment surveys have led to increased reliance on interpolation, which can result in larger revisions when actual data becomes available [12].