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地铁设计: 广东中企华正诚资产房地产土地评估造价咨询有限公司《关于广州地铁设计研究院股份有限公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金申请的审核问询函的回复》之专项核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-08 16:23
Core Viewpoint - The company is undergoing a significant asset acquisition and capital raising process, with a focus on enhancing its engineering consulting capabilities through the purchase of 100% equity in a target company, which is expected to improve its operational efficiency and market competitiveness [1][8]. Assessment Summary Evaluation Methodology - The asset valuation for the target company was conducted using both the asset-based approach and the income approach, resulting in a valuation of 51,110 million yuan under the income approach, reflecting an increase of 40,472.67 million yuan, or a growth rate of 380.48% [2]. - The asset-based approach yielded a total equity value of 18,576.22 million yuan, indicating a significant discrepancy between the two valuation methods [2]. Financial Performance and Projections - The target company's engineering supervision business accounts for approximately 50%-60% of total revenue, with a projected revenue decline of 13% in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to a decrease in income from metro protection consulting services [2]. - The project management business is expected to grow due to winning a significant project worth approximately 301 million yuan (excluding tax) for the design and construction of the Macau Light Rail East Line [2]. Cost Structure and Profitability - The company has experienced a slight decline in gross profit margins compared to industry averages, particularly in the engineering supervision segment, which is attributed to a significant drop in contract prices for metro protection services [4]. - The average salary for production personnel in the company is higher than the regional average, indicating a competitive labor cost structure [16][17]. Market Environment and Strategic Outlook - The urban rail transit industry in China is transitioning towards high-quality development, with sustained investment expected to continue, maintaining a favorable outlook for the engineering consulting sector [6][7]. - The company aims to expand its market presence beyond Guangdong Province, leveraging its technical expertise and project experience to penetrate other regions and international markets [10][11]. Future Revenue and Order Forecast - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts, with a total of 175,281.79 million yuan in hand contracts as of the end of 2024, indicating a strong revenue pipeline [11]. - The projected new contract income for various business segments shows a cautious growth trajectory, with engineering supervision expected to generate significant new contracts in the coming years [12][13].