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中润光学(688307):大倍率变焦国内龙头 点睛无人机+移动机器人新领域
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 00:26
Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading brand in domestic medium and large zoom lenses and one of the few suppliers of industrial drone lenses, benefiting from industry scale growth and market share increase, with potential for performance to double. Group 1: Industry Growth and Opportunities - Short-term growth driven by the rise of drones and smart robots, with drones opening a second growth curve due to new application scenarios in consumer, industrial, and military fields, where lenses are core components, and the company holds a 5.6% market share in 2021 [1] - The demand for laser radar is increasing due to the spatial perception needs of mobile robots, with the company expanding into household, service, collaborative, AMR, and humanoid robots [1] - Long-term prospects indicate that the optical lens industry will undergo a new round of transformation driven by the rapid development of emerging fields like embodied intelligence [1] Group 2: Digital Security Lens Demand - The demand for medium and large zoom lenses in the digital security sector is growing, despite a temporary slowdown in overall growth, driven by applications in border defense, rail transportation, and river monitoring [2] - The company has a strong technical foundation from its partnership with Kinoshita Optical, which has over 40 years of lens development history and provides services to renowned international companies [2] Group 3: Strategic Investments and Acquisitions - The company plans to acquire 51% of Dais Optoelectronics by mid-2025, focusing on precision optical components for laser devices, semiconductor equipment testing, and autonomous driving, with net profit commitments of 0.21, 0.29, and 0.40 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [2] - Investment in 45% of Blue Star Guangyu through its subsidiary Runyang Fund is also planned, targeting the domestic leading supplier of space optical communication payloads for low-orbit satellite communication and drone applications [2] Group 4: Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 0.6, 1.7, and 2.5 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 164%, and 51% respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 52, 20, and 13 times [3] - The company is actively expanding into emerging downstream fields, indicating significant performance elasticity, with a target price of 66.27 yuan based on a 35 times PE for 2026, initiating coverage with a "buy" rating [3]