（来源：炭黑产业网） TANHEI PART 01 煤焦油供需 供应面：经过上一轮涨价后焦企利润修复，下游对于原料的冬储意愿较往年已有所降温，节前焦炭市场预计持稳运行，煤焦油供应变化不大。 需求面来看，深加工企业仍存在备货的需求；煤焦油价格波动后，产业链心态产生明显变化。外加深加工开工减少，供应减量，部分企业产生惜售情绪， 价格从看空转为谨慎观望。目前深加工产品价格暂稳，煤沥青价格在4600-4650元/吨；蒽油山东价格在3650元/吨。 PART 02 节前最后一周拍卖，煤焦油价格止跌，稳中偏强运行。从炭黑市场来看，本周炭黑新单的询价明显减少，炭黑厂多执行订单发货为主。 炭黑供需 临近年关物流逐渐停运，下游全钢轮胎企业已相继进入假期，半钢轮胎企业也开始放假，轮胎行业的整体开工率呈现下降趋势，其他橡胶制品企业备货结 束也早已进入了假期。当前炭黑厂下游采购需求转淡，多执行前期订单发货，市场新单交易逐渐停止。 从炭黑供应情况来看，当前炭黑主流大厂库存水平不高，炭黑厂开工率无明显下滑迹象，据炭黑产业网统计，炭黑厂开工率仍维持在六成左右。一方面下 游前期备货积极，炭黑厂多存在待交付订单，炭黑厂仍需积极生产以满足订单需 ...

Group 1: Coal Tar Supply and Demand - This week, coal tar prices have shown a stable to slightly strong trend, ending the previous decline. Some downstream deep processing enterprises still have a strong demand for stocking, with auction prices in Linhuan rising by 55 yuan, boosting market confidence. Afternoon auction prices in Shandong and Hebei increased by 10 yuan [3][7][6]. Group 2: Carbon Black Supply and Demand - As the year-end approaches, logistics are gradually halting, and downstream full-steel tire enterprises have started their holidays, leading to a decline in the overall operating rate of the tire industry. Other rubber product enterprises have also completed their stocking and entered the holiday period. Currently, the purchasing demand from carbon black factories has weakened, with most executing previous orders and new transactions gradually ceasing [3][7][6]. - The current inventory levels of major carbon black manufacturers are not high, and there is no significant decline in production rates, with the operating rate remaining around 60%. Downstream enterprises had been actively stocking earlier, and many carbon black factories still have pending orders to fulfill. Some large manufacturers are also responsible for winter heating tasks [5][9].

近日，黑猫股份（002068.SZ）、龙星科技（002442.SZ）、永东股份（002753.SZ）三家国内炭黑行业 上市龙头企业相继发布2025年度业绩预告，净利润均出现大幅下滑或亏损。其中，黑猫股份预计全年归 母净利润亏损4.2亿至4.7亿元。 炭黑行业分析人士向《中国经营报》记者指出，2025年国内炭黑行业呈现"供强需弱"格局，整体陷 入"量增利减"的困境。展望2026年，行业新增产能仍将集中释放，而需求端复苏乏力，行业盈利压力可 能持续，结构性调整与洗牌或将加速。 炭黑行业盈利能力下滑，背后是供需失衡与成本传导机制失灵的结构性矛盾。 卓创资讯炭黑分析师刘宵向记者表示，2025年炭黑市场价格呈现"宽幅上涨—宽幅下行—窄幅波动超预 期下行—小幅回涨"走势。以山东地区炭黑N330为例，2025年全年均价为6624.8元/吨，同比2024年下跌 1443.33元/吨，跌幅为17.89%。 从供应端来看，2024—2025年，国内炭黑行业新增产能集中释放，成为供需失衡的主要推手。永东股份 在业绩预告中提及，2024—2025年全国炭黑行业新增产能集中释放，加剧了市场"供强需弱"的格局。 整体盈利水平承压 1月3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic carbon black industry is facing dual challenges of continuously declining prices and high raw material costs, leading to significant pressure on the performance of leading listed companies in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Leading carbon black companies such as Longxing Technology, Yongdong Co., and Heimao Co. reported substantial declines in net profits for Q3 2025, with Heimao Co. posting a net loss of 55 million yuan, Yongdong Co. achieving a net profit of 48.89 million yuan (down 40.46% year-on-year), and Longxing Technology's net profit declining by 45.59% to 60.99 million yuan [1] - Heimao Co. reported a revenue of 6.417 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 12.1%, with a net loss expanding to 213 million yuan [4] - Longxing Technology achieved a revenue of 3.241 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.76%, but its net profit fell by 45.59% to 60.99 million yuan [4] Group 2: Market Price Trends - As of September 29, 2025, the mainstream market price for carbon black N330 in Shandong was between 6,300 and 6,500 yuan per ton, with an average increase of 100 yuan per ton since early July, but a decline of 146 yuan per ton (2.2%) compared to Q2 [2] - The average price for Q3 2025 was 6,465 yuan per ton, down 1,624 yuan per ton (20.08%) compared to the same period in 2024 [2] - Analysts predict that the carbon black market will experience weak fluctuations in Q4 2025, with supply exceeding demand remaining a significant factor influencing pricing [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - The carbon black industry's profitability is under pressure due to declining market prices, with many companies reporting losses in Q3 2025 [4] - The average theoretical profit level for carbon black N330 products in Shandong was -315.69 yuan per ton in Q1 2025, a significant drop from the average profit level of 266.57 yuan per ton in Q3 2024 [4] - The ongoing supply-demand imbalance is expected to persist, leading to continued low pricing and reduced bargaining power for carbon black companies [3]