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中国银河:给予航宇科技买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-02 06:03
Core Viewpoint - The report on Aerospace Technology indicates that the company has a sufficient order backlog and is expected to achieve growth supported by capacity release, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 914 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million yuan, down 12.8% year-on-year [2]. - The second quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 492 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.6%, indicating a recovery from previous declines [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 26.6%, a decrease of 0.92 percentage points year-on-year, with the aerospace forging segment experiencing the most significant pressure, with a margin of 17.3%, down 10.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. Business Segmentation - Revenue from aerospace forgings was 689 million yuan, accounting for 75.4% of total revenue, while revenue from aerospace forgings increased by 30.9% year-on-year to 72 million yuan [3]. - The company has signed long-term supply agreements with major international aerospace manufacturers, indicating a strong position in the international market [3][4]. - The company’s inventory increased by 16.7% to 1.04 billion yuan, with raw materials and work-in-progress rising significantly, indicating readiness to meet market demand [3]. Order Backlog and Capacity Expansion - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the company had a total order backlog of 5.97 billion yuan, an increase of 24.1% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in downstream demand [4]. - The company is actively advancing the construction of precision manufacturing industrial parks for large ring forgings, with an expected completion date in January 2027 [4]. Investment Outlook - Short-term expectations include significant growth in 2025 driven by international orders and a rebound in aerospace forging demand [5]. - Long-term prospects involve diversification into sectors such as fourth-generation nuclear power and commercial aerospace, with projected net profits of 235 million yuan, 305 million yuan, and 364 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5].