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超越加拿大!巴西2025年猪肉出口预计149万吨,登顶全球第三大出口国
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 10:05
Core Insights - Brazil's pork export volume is projected to reach 1.49 million tons by 2025, a 10% increase from the previous year, positioning Brazil as the third-largest pork exporter globally, surpassing Canada [1][5] - Despite a 30% decrease in pork exports to China this year, Brazil's market diversification strategy has shown positive effects, with the Philippines emerging as the main export destination [1][5] Group 1: Export Projections - The expected export volume for Brazil in 2025 is between 1.3 million and 1.35 million tons, with significant growth anticipated in exports to Japan, Vietnam, and Mexico [1][5] - The international landscape is favorable for Brazil, as the U.S. reduces pork exports to meet domestic demand and Europe faces production challenges due to African swine fever [3][7] Group 2: Domestic Market and Supply - Domestic pork supply is projected to reach 4.06 million tons by 2025, with per capita consumption increasing to 19 kg [3][7] - Favorable currency exchange rates and efficient farm operations are expected to support a balance between strong exports and sufficient domestic supply [3][7] Group 3: Financial Performance - As of November, Brazil's pork shipment volume increased by 10.4%, totaling 1.372 million tons, compared to 1.243 million tons in the same period last year [3][7] - Revenue from January to November reached $3.294 billion, an 18.7% increase from the previous year [3][7] Group 4: Future Opportunities - Brazil may gain new health permits for exporting pork by-products to China, which could open new export opportunities [4][8] - The predictability of corn and soybean prices is expected to provide necessary support for continued investment and capacity expansion in the pork industry [4][8]