瑞银牛证(68382)
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【窩輪透視】如何在快手中性市況下,善用牛熊證作方向部署
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 04:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market conditions for Kuaishou (快手) and related products, highlighting a neutral market sentiment and the performance of various financial instruments linked to the stock [1][4]. Market Performance - On January 20, Kuaishou's stock price slightly decreased by 0.91%, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion, indicating a stable consolidation phase without significant volume changes [1]. - Other stocks in the sector, such as JD.com and Netease, showed minor fluctuations, with JD.com receiving a "strong buy" signal despite being near the neutral RSI level of 44 [1]. - Kuaishou's technical indicators suggest it is in a short-term oscillation range, positioned between the 10-day moving average (HKD 77.17) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 70.19) [1]. Technical Indicators - The RSI index is at 60, indicating a neutral sentiment without entering the overbought zone, supported by multiple oscillation indicators that also signal a neutral market [2]. - Resistance levels are identified at HKD 81.1 and HKD 88.9, while support levels are at HKD 70.7 and HKD 63.2, with the former being close to the 30-day moving average, suggesting strong support [2]. Product Review - Kuaishou-related structured products, particularly bear certificates, have performed well, with notable gains of 17% for JPMorgan's bear certificate and 15% for HSBC's bear certificate over the past two trading days [4]. - The article highlights two selected products for different market expectations: a put certificate with a leverage of 8 times and a call certificate with a leverage of 4.3 times, catering to investors with varying outlooks on Kuaishou's price movements [7]. Selected Products - The put certificate (18971) has a strike price of HKD 68.83 and is noted for its low premium and implied volatility, making it suitable for investors expecting a short-term decline [7]. - The UBS call certificate (68382) offers a balanced cost control and profit potential, appealing to those anticipating a rebound after testing support levels [7][8].