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美股风云突变?但有 Costco“稳如磐石”
海豚投研· 2025-03-08 12:19
Core Viewpoint - Costco's Q2 FY2025 financial results show strong growth in revenue and comparable sales, but profits fell short of expectations, indicating potential inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy [1][7][10]. Sales Performance - Overall comparable sales growth for Costco was 6.8%, significantly higher than the previous quarter and exceeding market expectations by 0.4 percentage points. When excluding fuel price fluctuations and currency effects, the comparable sales growth reached 9.1%, a 2 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [1][10]. - The sales growth can be attributed to a 5.7% increase in customer traffic and a 1% increase in average transaction value. This quarter marked the first time since Q1 FY2023 that the average transaction value increased by over 1% year-over-year [1][11]. Regional Analysis - In terms of regional performance, comparable sales in the U.S., Canada, and other international markets grew by 8.3%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The U.S. market was the primary driver of growth, with a 3.1 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [2][12]. - Excluding currency and fuel price impacts, comparable sales growth in Canada and international markets also reached 10% [2][12]. E-commerce Growth - E-commerce sales surged by 21% year-over-year, significantly surpassing the expected 15% growth. Online traffic increased by 13%, and average order value rose by 10%, indicating a strong upward trend in pricing [3][13][14]. Membership Fees - Membership fee revenue for the quarter was $1.19 billion, a 7.4% year-over-year increase, but below the market expectation of 9.5%. The number of paying members increased by 1 million, representing a 6.8% year-over-year growth, which is the lowest growth rate in recent times [3][15][16]. Financial Metrics - Total revenue for the quarter reached $63.7 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by strong product sales. The gross profit margin for merchandise sales was 10.9%, a slight increase of 0.05 percentage points year-over-year [4][17][19]. - Operating profit was $2.32 billion, reflecting a 12.3% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the market expectation of $2.33 billion. Net profit was $1.79 billion, a 2.6% year-over-year increase, which was below the expected $1.84 billion [5][22]. Cost Management - Selling and administrative expenses totaled $5.85 billion, a year-over-year increase of 8.1%, which was slightly lower than the revenue growth rate. This resulted in a decrease in the expense ratio to 9.06% [4][18].