Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696) based on the recovery of the civil aviation industry, increased marketing investments, and improved operational efficiency [7][6][15]. Core Insights - China Civil Aviation Information Network is a leading IT solution provider in the civil aviation sector, deeply involved in the construction and upgrade of civil aviation information systems since its inception [6][15]. - The company is the largest Global Distribution System (GDS) provider in China, with a global market share of approximately 28% and a domestic market share of around 95% [6][32]. - The recovery of the civil aviation industry is expected to drive steady growth in passenger numbers and revenue, with the company projecting a significant increase in flight bookings processed by its ETD system [6][49]. - The launch of the "official direct sales platform" by the company marks its entry into the trillion-yuan Online Travel Agency (OTA) market, aiming to reduce airlines' reliance on traditional OTAs [6][15]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 6,984 million RMB - 2024: 8,823 million RMB (34.04% YoY growth) - 2025E: 9,245 million RMB (4.79% YoY growth) - 2026E: 9,863 million RMB (6.68% YoY growth) - 2027E: 10,541 million RMB (6.88% YoY growth) [5][6]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is expected to reach: - 2023: 1,399 million RMB - 2024: 2,074 million RMB (123.10% YoY growth) - 2025E: 2,209 million RMB (6.51% YoY growth) - 2026E: 2,429 million RMB (9.94% YoY growth) - 2027E: 2,648 million RMB (9.04% YoY growth) [5][6]. Key Assumptions - Revenue growth rates for various segments from 2025 to 2027 are projected as follows: - Aviation IT services: 5%/6%/6% - Settlement and clearing services: 20%/7%/7% - System integration services: -5%/5%/5% - Data network services and other businesses: 10%/10%/10% [8]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a key player in the civil aviation IT sector, with a robust growth trajectory supported by the increasing demand for air travel and the expansion of airport infrastructure in China [6][58]. - The civil aviation industry is expected to see a doubling of per capita air travel frequency over the next decade, indicating significant growth potential for the company [56][57]. Catalysts for Stock Performance - The civil aviation industry is entering a high-growth phase, with airlines recovering profitability and an increase in cross-border travel [10][6]. - The expansion of the company's overseas business and the successful launch of its OTA platform are expected to exceed market expectations [10].