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卫保川:中国当前最大的国情是“内卷”,对投资者而言蕴藏着机会
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 06:04
Core Viewpoint - The current major national condition in China is "involution," which may not be beneficial for companies but presents opportunities for investors [6][8]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Involution leads to an industry chain where many excellent companies earn money from foreign markets, resulting in low-cost operations domestically [3][8]. - Examples of companies that have seen significant stock price increases include Yantai Jereh, which rose from 20 to 70-80 yuan over the past year, demonstrating the potential for high returns in certain sectors [3][8]. - The investment strategy should focus on companies with international competitiveness during their early stages, as this represents a favorable investment timing [3][8]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The market outlook is not pessimistic, despite management's inclination towards a "slow bull" market approach; it is essential to focus on industry growth rather than short-term policy signals [4][9]. - Investors are encouraged to hold onto promising industries and excellent companies, emphasizing the importance of long-term growth potential [4][9].
卫保川:内卷就是产业链都不挣钱,很多优秀企业挣外国人的钱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 06:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the current state of "involution" in China presents both challenges for companies and opportunities for investors [6][8] - Involution is characterized by an industry chain that is not profitable, with many excellent companies earning money from foreign markets, leading to a low-cost environment [3][8] - An example provided is the stock of Yantai Jereh, which rose from 20 to 70-80 in the past year, illustrating the potential for significant gains in certain sectors [3][8] Group 2 - When China's product market share exceeds 90%, industries may face dual competition domestically and internationally, leading to a decrease in investment value, as seen in the solar industry [3][8] - It is suggested that investing in companies with international competitiveness during their early stages is a favorable strategy [3][8] - The outlook for the market is not pessimistic, but it is advised to focus on industry growth rather than short-term policy signals, and to continue holding onto promising industries and companies [4][9]