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南山智尚(300918):新材料打开差异化成长曲线
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-08 03:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 700 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 75 million yuan, down 8.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on differentiated growth through new materials, particularly in high-end markets [1][2]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 200 million, 230 million, and 280 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 55x, 48x, and 39x [4]. Product and Service Summary - **Fine Woolen Fabric**: Revenue of 340 million yuan, down 16%, with a gross margin of 38.3%, up 0.5 percentage points [2]. - **Apparel**: Revenue of 220 million yuan, down 21%, with a gross margin of 37.4%, up 4.5 percentage points [2]. - **Ultra-High Fiber**: Revenue of 90 million yuan, up 2.6%, with a gross margin of 27.2%, up 13 percentage points; this product is a strategic focus for the company [2]. - **Nylon Fiber**: Revenue of 70 million yuan, with a gross margin of 7.9% [2]. - **Others**: Revenue of 10 million yuan, up 45% [2]. Marketing Summary - Direct sales revenue was 650 million yuan, down 1.6%, while distributor sales revenue was 80 million yuan, down 31% [3]. - The company employs a "direct + agency" dual marketing model, establishing professional teams and direct offices for comprehensive market development and after-sales service [3]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 11.1 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of about 9.5 billion yuan [6]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach approximately 5.1 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 33.55% [10][11]. - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 2.87%, 15.36%, and 17.12% respectively [9]. Financial Forecast Summary - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 200.64 million yuan in 2025, with an EPS of 0.40 yuan [10][11]. - The gross margin is expected to improve to 35.27% by 2025 [11].