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秋乐种业(831087):2024年报、2025一季报点评:盈利短期承压,2025年有望恢复增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-28 06:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability is under short-term pressure, but it is expected to recover growth in 2025 [1][7] - The company has faced intense market competition, leading to a decline in revenue from corn and peanut seeds in 2024, but it is focusing on R&D to enhance product quality and market differentiation [7][8] - The financial forecasts have been adjusted downwards for 2025 and 2026 due to competitive pricing pressures in the corn seed industry, but the company is expected to gradually stabilize and grow with the promotion of new varieties [7][8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 534.24 million, projected to decline to 391.21 million in 2024, with a recovery to 437.15 million in 2025 [1][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 79.42 million in 2023 to 50.44 million in 2024, with a slight recovery to 52.83 million in 2025 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.31 in 2024 and 0.32 in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 59.25 and 56.57 respectively [1][8] - The company aims to maintain a gross margin of approximately 27% over the next few years, with net profit margins gradually decreasing from 12.89% in 2024 to 11.56% in 2027 [8]