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秦川机床(000837):营收稳步增长,政府补助减少拖累利润水平
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-27 06:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Insights - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 8.14% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 3.121 billion yuan. However, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.33% year-on-year to 48 million yuan, primarily due to reduced government subsidies [2] - The company has effectively controlled expenses, with a gross margin of 17.18% and a net profit margin of 2.12% for the first three quarters of 2025. The company also announced a cash dividend of 0.30 yuan per 10 shares, reflecting confidence in stable operations [3] - Research and development (R&D) investment has increased by 19.68% year-on-year, reaching 166 million yuan, indicating a commitment to innovation-driven high-quality development [4] - Due to the current pressure in the machine tool industry, the company has revised its net profit expectations for 2025 and 2026 down to 72 million yuan and 92 million yuan, respectively, while maintaining the 2027 net profit forecast at 108 million yuan [5] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 3.121 billion yuan, up 8.14% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 48 million yuan, down 15.33% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit loss of 1 million yuan, showing improvement from the previous year [2] Expense Management - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 17.18%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 2.12%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points, mainly due to reduced non-recurring gains. The company maintained a total expense ratio of 16.5% [3] Research and Development - The company increased its R&D expenditure to 166 million yuan, a 19.68% increase year-on-year, demonstrating a strong commitment to innovation. Significant progress was made in national projects and core technology breakthroughs [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 72 million yuan and 92 million yuan, respectively, while keeping the 2027 forecast at 108 million yuan. The current market valuation corresponds to P/E ratios of 189, 148, and 126 for the respective years [5]