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威胜控股(03393):FY25中期业绩胜预期,海外收入快速增长
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with an updated target price of HKD 11.65, reflecting an upside potential of 21.6% based on an 8.5x FY26 target P/E ratio [4][6][19]. Core Insights - The company's FY25 interim results exceeded expectations, with a 32.8% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching RMB 440 million. This growth was driven by a 17.3% increase in total revenue to RMB 4.39 billion, primarily from the smart metering business, which saw a 29.8% revenue increase to RMB 1.88 billion [1][3]. - The company effectively controlled sales, administrative, and R&D expenses, leading to a decrease in financial costs by 5.4% to RMB 59 million, and a reduction in the effective tax rate from 16.9% to 15.1% [1][3]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic grid customers remain the largest revenue source, with a 21.6% year-on-year increase in related revenue to RMB 1.80 billion, accounting for 41.0% of total revenue. However, overseas customer revenue grew rapidly, increasing by 19.2% to RMB 1.24 billion, representing 30.8% of total revenue, primarily from the smart metering business [2][11]. - The company has commenced operations at its factories in Johor, Malaysia, and PT Willfar in Indonesia, which are expected to further drive overseas business growth [2]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - Following the FY25 interim results, the profit forecasts for FY25-27 have been raised by 9.1%, 9.6%, and 10.1%, respectively, resulting in projected net profits of RMB 980 million, RMB 1.26 billion, and RMB 1.54 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.4%, 28.6%, and 22.9% [3][15].