雅江下游水电工程电力

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中信证券:雅江下游水电工程正式开工 西藏水电开发提速在即
智通财经网· 2025-07-22 00:45
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of China Yajiang Group is a significant step to ensure the smooth construction and operation of the Yajiang hydropower project, which has a planned installed capacity of approximately 60 million kilowatts and an annual power generation of 300 billion kilowatt-hours [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yajiang hydropower project is set to have a total investment of over 1 trillion yuan, with a planned construction of five cascade power stations [2]. - The installed capacity of the Yajiang project is 2.7 times that of the Three Gorges Dam, which has an installed capacity of 22.5 million kilowatts [2]. Group 2: Cost Analysis - The estimated unit construction cost for the Yajiang project is around 20,000 yuan per kilowatt, which is approximately 40% higher than the current average construction cost of 14,000 yuan per kilowatt in the hydropower industry [3]. - The transmission costs for the Yajiang project are expected to exceed 0.10 yuan per kilowatt-hour due to the long-distance transmission to eastern and southern coastal load centers [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the high initial costs, there is potential for achieving a balance between revenue and costs in the long term, supported by the high electricity price tolerance in coastal areas and ongoing market-oriented electricity price reforms [4]. - The integration of renewable energy sources in the future may help reduce the overall power generation costs, enhancing the project's competitiveness in a market-oriented electricity environment [4].