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奢品包卖不动了?LV等巨头利润大跳水!“做二手奢品包的都在疯狂清库存”,买包理财神话终结
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-28 11:12
Core Viewpoint - The luxury goods market is experiencing a significant downturn, with major brands like Chanel and LVMH reporting declines in sales and profits, indicating a shift in consumer behavior and a reevaluation of luxury items as investment assets [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Richemont reported a 4% increase in revenue to €21.4 billion for the fiscal year 2025, but a 1% decline in operating profit to €3.76 billion, with the Asia-Pacific market suffering a 13% revenue drop, particularly in China where it fell by 23% [3]. - LVMH's revenue decreased by 2% to €84.683 billion, with net profit down 17% to €12.25 billion, while Kering's revenue fell by 12% to €17.194 billion and net profit dropped by 62% [3]. - Chanel's sales for 2024 were $18.7 billion, a 4.3% decrease year-on-year, with operating profit down 30% [3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The luxury goods market in China is projected to decline by 18%-20% in 2024, returning to 2020 levels, with leather goods expected to drop by 20%-25% [4]. - High-end commercial properties are also affected, with Beijing SKP's sales plummeting 17% to ¥22 billion, and other malls experiencing a 6% revenue decline [4]. - The second-hand luxury market is seeing increased demand as consumers seek value, with significant price drops reported in the resale of luxury items [7][9]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are becoming more cautious, focusing on practicality and value rather than viewing luxury items as investment tools, with many preferring traditional investment options like ETFs and bank deposits [13][15]. - The perception of luxury goods as financial assets is shifting, with consumers recognizing the marketing illusion behind the idea of luxury items as reliable investments [15]. - The second-hand market is gaining traction, with consumers looking for high-value items at lower prices, and classic brands like Chanel and Hermes being viewed as more stable investments [10][14]. Group 4: Investment Shifts - The average annual price increase for Chanel's Classic Flap bag from 2015 to 2023 was 8.5%, while Hermes Birkin crocodile skin bags saw annual appreciation rates of 10%-15% [12][14]. - As traditional investment returns decline, gold is becoming a preferred investment choice among high-net-worth individuals, with 15.7% still considering it their top investment option [15].