高铁客票业务
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京沪高铁(601816):2025年三季报点评:量价稳增驱动Q3利润同比+9%,看好全年业绩稳增
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 09:29
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [1] Core Views - The report highlights stable revenue growth, with a 9% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025. The company achieved a total revenue of 32.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting a 1.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.3 billion yuan, up 2.87% year-on-year [2][3] - The report emphasizes that the company's gross margin exceeded 50% in Q3, indicating successful price increases in its mainline high-speed rail ticket business [3] - The profitability of the subsidiary, Jingfu Anhui, is noted, with a significant increase in minority shareholder equity, suggesting a positive outlook for its performance [3] - The report expresses optimism regarding the company's mainline business and cross-line operations, predicting steady growth in passenger volume and revenue [3] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 13.02 billion, 13.69 billion, and 14.41 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.27, 0.28, and 0.29 yuan [3][4] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 43.32 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.8% [4] - The gross margin is expected to be 47.7% in 2025, slightly improving from previous years [4] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 19.65 in 2025 to 17.76 by 2027, indicating a potentially more attractive valuation over time [4]