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【海外TMT】Marvell和博通AI相关收入均实现高增长,下财季AI收入指引表现不一——AI算力产业链跟踪报告三十一(付天姿)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-07 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Marvell and Broadcom have reported strong financial results, with Marvell's data center market revenue growing rapidly due to strong demand for ASIC custom chips, while Broadcom's AI revenue guidance indicates continued high growth [2][4]. Marvell Summary - FY25 Q4 revenue reached $1.817 billion, a year-over-year increase of 27% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 20%. Non-GAAP net profit was $531 million, up 32% year-over-year and 42% quarter-over-quarter [2]. - For FY25, total revenue was $5.77 billion, reflecting a 5% year-over-year growth, with Non-GAAP net profit also at $1.38 billion, up 5% year-over-year [2]. - The guidance for FY26 Q1 indicates revenue of $1.88 billion, a 61% year-over-year increase and a 3% quarter-over-quarter increase, with a Non-GAAP gross margin of 60% [2]. - Data center business revenue for FY2025 was $4.164 billion, up 88% year-over-year, with Q4 revenue of $1.37 billion, increasing 78% year-over-year and 24% quarter-over-quarter. This growth was driven by ASIC chips, optical products, and Teralynx Ethernet switch shipments [3]. - The company anticipates continued growth in the data center segment, with ASIC chips currently in mass production and strong demand for optical products [3]. Broadcom Summary - FY25 Q1 revenue was $14.916 billion, a 25% year-over-year increase and a 6% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA for FY25 Q1 was $10.083 billion, up 41% year-over-year and 11% quarter-over-quarter, also surpassing expectations [4]. - The guidance for FY25 Q2 indicates revenue of $14.9 billion, a 19% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 66% [4]. - Semiconductor business revenue for FY25 Q1 was $8.2 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with AI revenue at $4.1 billion, up 77% year-over-year [5]. - The company expects semiconductor revenue to grow to $8.4 billion in FY25 Q2, with AI revenue projected at $4.4 billion, a 44% year-over-year increase [5]. Market Reaction - Following Marvell's earnings report, the stock price fell significantly due to concerns over the guidance for data center revenue growth slowing down [6]. - In contrast, Broadcom's stock surged by 12.9% after its earnings report, driven by strong AI revenue guidance, reinforcing market confidence in ongoing growth in AI data center spending [6].