2025大模型发展时间线全景图

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蚂蚁开源2025外滩大会发布大模型全景图,AI开发现三大趋势:工具、路线与生态分化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 15:25
Core Insights - The report released by Ant Group and Inclusion AI highlights the rapid evolution of the global AI open-source ecosystem, showcasing China's active role in this field [1][3] Group 1: Open Source Ecosystem - 62% of open-source projects emerged after the "GPT moment" in October 2022, with an average age of only 30 months [3] - Approximately 36,000 global developers contributed to the projects, with the US accounting for 24% and China for 18% of the contributions [3] - Chinese companies prefer open-weight models, while leading US firms tend to adopt closed-source strategies, indicating a clear divergence in open-source approaches [3][6] Group 2: AI Programming Tools - The explosive growth of AI programming tools is a notable trend, significantly enhancing programmer efficiency [4] - New coding tools launched in 2025 average over 30,000 developer stars, with Gemini CLI achieving over 60,000 stars in just three months [4] - The development of these tools is reshaping the software development industry, with a shift towards AI handling repetitive tasks, allowing developers to focus on creative design and complex problem-solving [4][6] Group 3: Key Trends in Model Development - The report identifies several key directions in model development, including a clear division between open-source and closed-source routes in China and the US [6] - Model parameters are trending towards scalability under the MoE architecture, and reinforcement learning is becoming a crucial method for enhancing model inference capabilities [6] - Multi-modal models are accelerating to become mainstream, and model evaluation methods are diversifying into subjective voting and objective assessment [6]
蚂蚁开源2025全球大模型全景图出炉,AI开发中美路线分化、工具热潮等趋势浮现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 14:39
Core Insights - The report released by Ant Group and Inclusion AI highlights the rapid development and trends in the AI open-source ecosystem, particularly focusing on large models and their implications for the industry [1] Group 1: Open-source Ecosystem Overview - The 2.0 version of the report includes 114 notable open-source projects across 22 technical fields, categorized into AI Agent and AI Infra [1] - 62% of the open-source projects in the large model ecosystem were created after the "GPT moment" in October 2022, with an average age of only 30 months, indicating a fast-paced evolution in the AI open-source landscape [1] - Approximately 360,000 global developers contributed to the projects, with 24% from the US, 18% from China, and smaller contributions from India, Germany, and the UK [1] Group 2: Development Trends - A significant trend identified is the explosive growth of AI programming tools, which automate code generation and modification, greatly enhancing programmer efficiency [1][2] - These tools are categorized into command-line tools and integrated development environment (IDE) plugins, with the former being favored for their flexibility and the latter for their integration into development processes [1] - The report notes that the average new coding tool in 2025 has garnered over 30,000 developer stars, with Gemini CLI achieving over 60,000 stars in just three months, marking it as one of the fastest-growing projects [1] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The report outlines a timeline of major large model releases from leading companies, detailing both open and closed models, along with key parameters and modalities [4] - Key directions in large model development include a clear divergence between open-source and closed-source strategies in China and the US, a trend towards scaling model parameters under MoE architecture, and the rise of multi-modal models [4] - The evaluation methods for models are evolving, incorporating both subjective voting and objective assessments, reflecting the technological advancements in the large model domain [4]