Key Points Taiwan Semiconductor is launching a new technology in 2026. TSMC's revenue is greater than its competition combined. However, Taiwan Semiconductor isn't a risk-free investment. 10 stocks we like better than Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing › Finding a single stock to buy and hold isn't an easy task. The stock needs to cover a wide range of outcomes, and failure isn't an option. While this stock may not provide the highest returns in your portfolio, it is also the most likely to beat ...

Group 1: AI Investment Trends - The AI boom is expected to reach new heights by 2026, with AI investing remaining the dominant theme since its inception in 2023 [1] - AI hyperscalers are projected to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on AI computing infrastructure in 2026, surpassing records set in 2025 [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Nvidia has been a leading beneficiary of the AI boom, becoming the largest company by market cap and showing strong performance since 2023 [3] - AMD is enhancing its software in collaboration with OpenAI, while Broadcom is forming partnerships to develop custom AI chips that can outperform GPUs at lower costs [4] Group 3: Taiwan Semiconductor's Position - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is identified as a way to invest in the AI sector without betting on a single winner, as it supplies chips to major players like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom [5] - TSMC is the world's leading chip foundry, producing a significant portion of high-end chips for AI hyperscalers, and has achieved impressive manufacturing yields [7][9] Group 4: Technological Advancements - TSMC is launching a new 2nm chip node that offers 25% to 30% less power consumption compared to the previous 3nm generation, which is crucial for the energy-intensive AI buildout [8] - The new chips are entering production, with benefits expected to materialize in the coming quarters [9] Group 5: Financial Performance - TSMC's revenue grew by 41% year over year in Q3, outpacing growth rates of competitors like Broadcom and AMD, and only trailing Nvidia's 56% growth [10] - TSMC is also improving profitability despite significant expansion plans, including new facilities in the U.S. and globally [11] Group 6: Valuation Perspective - Despite TSMC's rapid growth and strong performance, it trades at a lower valuation compared to its competitors, suggesting it is undervalued [13] - Given its growth rate and lower price tag, TSMC is considered a strong buy to capitalize on the AI buildout, with expectations of becoming a top performer in 2026 [15]

Core Viewpoint - Selecting a single AI stock to invest in is challenging, but Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) is identified as the top pick due to its strong bull case compared to its bear case [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Taiwan Semiconductor is the leading chip foundry globally, maintaining a neutral position in the chip race while providing cutting-edge technology [4] - TSMC's client base includes major companies like Nvidia and Apple, which trust TSMC not to market their proprietary chip designs [4] Group 2: Technological Advancements - TSMC's 3 nanometer chip node is currently the best available, with plans to launch 2nm chips by the end of 2025 and 1.6nm chips in late 2026 [5] - The 2nm chips will consume 20% to 30% less power than 3nm chips at the same speed, while 1.6nm chips will further improve energy consumption by 15% to 20% [5] Group 3: Market Demand and Growth Projections - TSMC's Arizona production facility is sold out through 2027, indicating strong current demand for chips [6] - The company expects AI-related revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 45% over the next five years, with overall company growth approaching a CAGR of 20% [7] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - TSMC's geographical location in Taiwan poses a risk, particularly concerning potential geopolitical tensions with mainland China [9] - The company is investing $100 billion in U.S. chip production facilities to mitigate risks associated with tariffs and geopolitical issues [9][11] Group 5: Investment Outlook - The bear case for TSMC is considered weaker and based on conjecture, while the bull case is supported by solid evidence [12] - TSMC's unique position as a key provider for major tech companies makes it a strong investment opportunity over the next five years [12]