Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is positioned as a top stock pick due to its strategic moves to mitigate geographical risks and its ability to meet the growing demand for chips through new technology rollouts [1][2]. Group 1: Global Footprint Expansion - TSMC is diversifying its global footprint to address risks associated with tariffs and potential geopolitical tensions, with a $65 billion facility in the U.S. and an additional $100 billion investment for further production capacity [5][6]. - The company is also establishing facilities in Germany and Japan, which reduces reliance on Taiwan for revenue generation [5][6]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - TSMC is set to launch 2nm and 1.6nm chips in late 2025 and 2026, respectively, which promise significant improvements in power consumption—20% to 30% for 2nm and 15% to 20% for 1.6nm compared to 3nm chips [8]. - The reduction in power consumption is expected to drive demand, particularly from data centers looking to lower operational costs [9]. Group 3: Growth Projections - TSMC's management anticipates a 45% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for AI-related chip revenue over the next five years, with overall revenue CAGR expected to approach 20% [10]. - If TSMC meets its revenue growth projections, it could see a nearly 150% increase in revenue over five years, making it a compelling investment opportunity [11]. Group 4: Stock Valuation - TSMC's stock is currently trading at just under 21 times forward earnings, which is cheaper than the S&P 500's approximately 22 times forward earnings, indicating that the stock is not priced at a premium despite its growth potential [12][14]. - This valuation suggests that investors can buy TSMC stock with confidence, as it is aligned with market averages [14].

Core Viewpoint - The $1 trillion stock club is shrinking due to market sell-offs, with only eight companies currently holding this valuation, but Taiwan Semiconductor and Broadcom are poised to rejoin soon if the market recovers [1][2]. Group 1: Company Valuations - Taiwan Semiconductor is currently valued at approximately $770 billion, while Broadcom is valued at around $800 billion, indicating a 25% increase is needed for both to reach the $1 trillion mark [3]. - Both companies are expected to return to the $1 trillion valuation club within the next year or two [2][6]. Group 2: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - TSMC is the largest chip foundry globally, producing chips for major clients like Nvidia, Apple, and Broadcom, which allows it to maintain a neutral position in the market [4]. - TSMC is advancing its technology with the introduction of 2 nm and 1.6 nm chips, following its current 3 nm technology, which enhances its competitive edge [5]. - The CEO of TSMC expressed confidence in achieving a revenue increase of nearly mid-20s percent in U.S. dollar terms for the full year 2025, despite potential tariff uncertainties [5][6]. Group 3: Broadcom - Broadcom is developing custom AI accelerators, known as XPUs, which are alternatives to Nvidia's GPUs, targeting specific workloads and potentially capturing market share from Nvidia [7][8]. - The addressable market for Broadcom's XPUs is projected to be between $60 billion and $90 billion by 2027, with significant growth expected as new clients adopt these products [9]. - Broadcom's trailing 12-month revenue stands at $54.5 billion, and growth from the XPU segment could significantly enhance its overall revenue [9]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Both TSMC and Broadcom are currently viewed as attractive investment opportunities due to their lower forward price-to-earnings ratios compared to recent months [11]. - Despite Broadcom having a slightly higher premium, both companies are considered to offer great value for investors looking for long-term returns [13].