3.2T pluggable modules
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中际旭创:Stronger into 2026 on 1.6T ramp and SiPh mix-20260401
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-04-01 01:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Innolight, with a target price of RMB707, indicating a potential upside of 24.2% from the current price of RMB569.41 [3][4]. Core Insights - Innolight reported strong FY25 earnings, with revenue increasing by 60% YoY to RMB38.2 billion and net profit rising by 109% YoY to RMB10.8 billion, reflecting robust demand and effective execution [1][2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) improved significantly to 42.6% from 34.7% in FY24, driven by high-speed optical module shipments and a higher silicon photonics (SiPh) mix [1][2]. - The company is positioned as a key beneficiary in the domestic AI sector, supported by enhanced supply-chain readiness and leadership in pluggable modules [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY26E are set at RMB84.1 billion, with a YoY growth of 119.8%, and net profit is expected to reach RMB28.0 billion, reflecting a 159.7% increase [2][10]. - The gross margin is anticipated to further improve to 45.6% in FY26E and 48.5% by FY28E, indicating ongoing operational efficiency [2][19]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from RMB9.80 in FY25A to RMB25.24 in FY26E, with a P/E ratio decreasing from 58.1 in FY25A to 22.6 in FY26E [2][19]. Growth and Capacity - Capacity expanded by 34% YoY in FY25, with shipments growing by 45%, highlighting strong demand and effective ramp execution [9]. - Utilization rates improved from 74% in FY24 to 85% in FY25, with overseas sales constituting 92% of revenue [9]. - The company expects 800G to remain a primary shipment driver, while 1.6T technology is anticipated to significantly contribute to revenue and GPM growth [9]. Market Position and Future Outlook - Innolight's product roadmap is considered one of the strongest in the sector, with management focusing on 800G and 1.6T as core demand pillars for FY26 [9]. - The company is also preparing for future optical interconnect demand, with plans to introduce 3.2T pluggable modules by FY28E [9]. - The report indicates an optimistic earnings outlook, driven by sustained growth in 800G volumes and increased contributions from 1.6T technology [9].