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曾经“香喷喷”的白酒为啥不“香”了|经济观察
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-07-17 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry, particularly the white wine sector, is experiencing a significant downturn, characterized by declining sales and prices, leading to a challenging market environment for retailers and producers [1][3][4]. Retail Market - Retailers are facing unprecedented challenges, with many reporting a significant drop in sales and a price decline for popular brands like Moutai and Wuliangye, with prices falling to around 2000 yuan and 900 yuan respectively [1][3]. - The number of liquor stores in cities like Changsha has decreased by 30% to 40% due to the tough market conditions [1][3]. Sales Performance - Water Jiufang's half-year performance forecast indicates a revenue drop of 12.84% to 1.498 billion yuan and a net profit decline of 56.52% to 105 million yuan, despite a 14.54% increase in sales volume [4]. - Moutai's financial performance has also shown a slowdown, with net profits growing at a decreasing rate, indicating potential future challenges [5]. Industry Challenges - The white wine market is facing a "cold winter," with over half of the companies reporting reduced profits and sales, marking the most significant downturn in nearly a decade [3][4]. - Factors contributing to this downturn include economic cycles, structural supply-demand imbalances, and changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger generations [7][8]. Future Outlook - The industry is expected to undergo a "survival of the fittest" phase, where only high-quality products and strong brands will thrive, as consumer behavior shifts towards more rational purchasing decisions [8][9]. - Companies are encouraged to consider production cuts, price reductions, and the development of new products to adapt to the changing market landscape [9].