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连续两篇 ICLR,南京大学林浩鑫将世界模型动力学推演推进到上千步
机器之心· 2026-03-29 07:17
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the key limitation in advancing world models is not merely their representational capabilities but rather the dynamics modeling aspect, which is crucial for stable future predictions [2][9][78] - Recent research by Haoxin Lin and his team focuses on improving dynamics modeling to enable world models to support long-term predictions effectively [3][39][75] Dynamics Modeling - World models consist of two main components: the V model for state representation and the M model for dynamics modeling, which predicts future states based on actions [4][5] - Traditional dynamics models often rely on single-step predictions, which can lead to cumulative errors in long-term forecasts due to bootstrapping [13][14][78] - The Any-step Dynamics Model (ADM) proposes a method for direct multi-step predictions, reducing error propagation and enhancing stability in long-term rollouts [19][20][24] Research Contributions - The ADM model demonstrates that future states can be predicted without relying solely on the previous step's results, allowing for more robust long-term forecasting [19][39] - The ADM-v2 model further advances this by achieving full-horizon rollouts of over a thousand steps, marking a significant leap in the capabilities of world models [41][42][60] - The structure of ADM-v2 separates state initialization from action-driven evolution, improving flexibility and stability in multi-step predictions [43][44] Performance and Evaluation - Experimental results indicate that the ADM models lead to improvements in future prediction quality and overall policy performance, particularly in both online and offline settings [32][33][64] - The ADM-v2 model has shown superior performance in offline policy evaluation tasks, outperforming various existing methods [59][60][66] Future Implications - The advancements in dynamics modeling are crucial for the evolution of world models from short-term prediction tools to comprehensive simulation systems capable of long-term planning and evaluation [75][78] - The ongoing research highlights the importance of addressing dynamics modeling as a foundational aspect for the future development of larger and more capable world models [78][79]