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京东健康(06618):2025H1财报点评:营收利润大超预期,上调全年业绩预测
Guohai Securities· 2025-08-16 14:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health (6618.HK) [1] Core Insights - JD Health's revenue and profit for H1 2025 significantly exceeded expectations, leading to an upward revision of the full-year performance forecast [6] - The company achieved a revenue of 35.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, with adjusted operating profit reaching 2.5 billion RMB, up 57% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit of 3.6 billion RMB, a 35% increase year-on-year [6][7] Revenue and Profit Performance - In H1 2025, JD Health's revenue was 35.3 billion RMB, reflecting a 25% year-on-year growth; adjusted operating profit margin (OPM) reached 7.0%, and adjusted net profit margin was 10.1% [6] - The strong profit performance was attributed to impressive drug sales and robust growth in advertising revenue, which improved the gross margin by 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [6] User Engagement and Service Expansion - As of H1 2025, the number of active users surpassed 200 million, with daily online consultation exceeding 500,000 and over 150,000 third-party merchants, an increase of more than 50,000 compared to the end of 2024 [6] - The company's instant retail service "JD Buy Medicine Fast Delivery" linked to over 200,000 pharmacies nationwide, and online medical insurance payment services expanded to nearly 200 million people, enhancing the efficiency of medical insurance fund usage and reducing user medication costs [6] AI and Medical Services - JD Health's AI applications in medical services continue to expand, with over 80% of doctors' consultations utilizing AI services, and the satisfaction rate for AI nutritionist services reaching 91% [7] - By H1 2025, the cumulative number of users served by AI medical assistants exceeded 50 million [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 70 billion RMB, 80.5 billion RMB, and 91.1 billion RMB respectively, with adjusted net profits of 5.5 billion RMB, 6.3 billion RMB, and 7.7 billion RMB [7][10] - Corresponding adjusted P/E ratios are estimated at 29x, 26x, and 21x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [7]