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Can BigBear.ai Fix Its Margin Pressure While Scaling GenAI?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 17:32
Core Insights - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is experiencing margin pressures, with gross margin contracting by 240 basis points to 22.8% year over year and adjusted EBITDA margin at negative 24.8% in the first nine months of 2025 [1] - The company is optimistic about long-term growth despite near-term challenges, particularly due to the acquisition of Ask Sage, which enhances its generative AI capabilities [2][3] - BBAI's competitive position is defined by its niche focus on mission-centric solutions, allowing it to compete effectively against larger players like Palantir Technologies and C3.ai [5][7] Financial Performance - BBAI's stock has increased by 56% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry and the S&P 500 index [8] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 15.52, indicating a discount compared to industry peers [11] - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised to a loss of 93 cents and 25 cents, respectively, with projected year-over-year growth of 15.5% and 72.8% [12] Competitive Landscape - BBAI operates in the generative AI space, competing with established players like Palantir Technologies, which focuses on data integration and enterprise AI, and C3.ai, which emphasizes generative capabilities for specific industries [6][5] - The company's competitive advantage lies in its deep mission expertise and tailored solutions for defense and government sectors, which can outperform generalist platforms in regulated environments [7]