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25Q1原料药板块业绩表现良好,关注API品种价格企稳、制剂一体化、新业务转型三条主线
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-28 12:11
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (maintained rating) [4] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical raw material sector showed a preliminary trend of marginal stabilization and recovery in Q1 2025, with key characteristics including the stabilization of raw material prices, integration of formulations, and the transition to new business models [1][2][3] Summary by Sections Raw Material Prices - After a year of continuous price decline in 2024, some raw material prices in Q1 2025 have shown signs of stabilization, with year-on-year declines but month-on-month increases for certain products. Companies have indicated that products with significant price drops in 2024 are stabilizing or increasing in price in 2025. The overall theme for 2024 was to exchange price for volume, while 2025 is expected to enter a phase of stable prices and increased volume [1] Formulation Integration - Companies like Tianyu Co. have experienced growth in Q1, partly due to the expansion of formulation product lines and the renewal of national procurement contracts. For companies with annual revenue below a certain threshold (e.g., 500 million), the rapid growth of formulation business is expected to significantly contribute to profits within the next 2-3 years [2] New Business Transition - Traditional raw material business margins have been shrinking due to intense competition. Therefore, expanding into innovative businesses is essential for the transformation of raw material companies. Companies are beginning to see returns from new business ventures, such as innovative drugs and complex formulations, with examples including Huahai Pharmaceutical's new monoclonal antibodies and Aorite's small nucleic acid technology platform [3]