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ARM to Post Q1 Earnings: Should the Stock be in Your Portfolio?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-28 17:26
Core Insights - ARM Holdings plc is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on July 30, with earnings expected to be 34 cents, reflecting a 15% year-over-year decline, while revenues are projected at $1.04 billion, indicating an 11% year-over-year increase [2][4]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter's revenue is $1.04 billion, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 11.06% [3]. - For the upcoming quarter, the revenue estimate is $1.05 billion, with a projected year-over-year growth of 24.89% [3]. - The current year's revenue estimate stands at $4.69 billion, reflecting a 17.14% year-over-year growth, while next year's estimate is $5.71 billion, indicating a 21.64% increase [3]. Earnings Performance - ARM has a strong history of earnings surprises, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 14.4% [5]. - The consensus estimate for Royalty revenues is $599 million, suggesting a 28.3% year-over-year decline, while License and other revenues are estimated at $440 million, indicating a 6.8% year-over-year decline [9]. Market Position and Valuation - ARM's stock has surged 46% in the past three months, trading at a forward P/E ratio of 85.2X, significantly higher than the industry average of 34.18X [8][10]. - The company's core strength in power-efficient chip architecture is central to its leadership in mobile computing, powering devices from major players like Apple, Qualcomm, and Samsung [11][12]. Strategic Importance - ARM is emerging as a foundational player in AI and IoT, with increasing reliance from companies like Apple, Qualcomm, and Samsung for AI-driven innovations [13][14]. - The demand for ARM's chips is expected to grow as machine learning and edge computing become more prevalent in technology advancements [14]. Investment Considerations - Given the substantial increase in ARM's stock price, a potential correction may occur, suggesting that investors might consider waiting for a more advantageous entry point [16][17].