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TTD vs. PUBM: Which Ad-Tech Stock Is the Smarter Pick for Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 14:26
Core Insights - The Trade Desk (TTD) and PubMatic (PUBM) are key players in the programmatic advertising ecosystem, with TTD focusing on demand-side platform (DSP) services and PUBM on sell-side platform services [1][8] - Both companies are significantly exposed to the growing Connected TV (CTV) and retail media trends, making them interesting for investors in the expanding digital ad market [2] Group 1: The Trade Desk (TTD) - TTD is cautious about the impact of macroeconomic conditions on large global brands, which may pressure revenue growth due to reduced programmatic demand [3] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major players like Google and Amazon dominating the DSP space, posing challenges for TTD [4] - Despite challenges, TTD's expanding CTV presence is a strong advantage, as CTV is the fastest-growing segment in digital advertising [5] - TTD has established partnerships with major companies like Disney, NBCU, and Roku, focusing on live sports streaming as a key part of its CTV strategy [6] - The AI-powered Kokai platform is enhancing TTD's competitive edge, with over 70% client adoption expected to be completed this year [7] Group 2: PubMatic (PUBM) - PubMatic is diversifying its DSP mix and investing in CTV and emerging revenue streams, with CTV revenues accounting for nearly 20% of total revenues [8][9] - The company has expanded partnerships with 26 of the top 30 global streamers, indicating its ability to secure premium inventory [9] - PubMatic's revenues from emerging streams have more than doubled year over year, representing 8% of total second-quarter revenues [10] - The Activate platform is becoming a significant growth driver, with buying activity more than doubling as advertisers seek better control and transparency [11] - PubMatic expects third-quarter revenues of $61-$66 million, down from $71.8 million year-over-year, due to a revised bidding approach from a major client [12] Group 3: Share Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, PUBM and TTD have experienced losses of 43.3% and 55.3%, respectively, amid macroeconomic uncertainties [13] - Valuation metrics indicate TTD is overvalued with a price/book ratio of 9.52X, while PUBM has a more favorable ratio of 1.56X [15] - PUBM currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), while TTD has a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting PUBM may be a better investment choice at this time [18]
Can TTD's Strategies & Innovations Shield Stock in an Uncertain Market?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 16:01
Core Insights - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is prioritizing innovation and strategic growth amidst market volatility affecting ad tech stocks [1] - TTD is leveraging advanced technologies, including generative AI, to enhance its platform and improve client performance [2] - The company is expanding partnerships to enhance data capabilities and campaign measurement [3][2] Strategic Developments - TTD's investment in generative AI has led to partnerships with Rembrand, Nova, Bunny Studio, and Spaceback, enhancing creative capabilities [2] - Collaborations with Visa, NIQ, and Zepto are aimed at improving data capabilities [2] - The launch of OpenSincera provides deeper visibility into advertising performance and supply chain health, making data accessible to the ecosystem [4] Partnership Expansion - TTD has expanded partnerships with Instacart and Ocado to provide detailed consumer purchase data for better campaign performance measurement [3] - The company is focused on securing long-term partnerships with major advertisers, agencies, and publishers, with nearly 100 joint business plans in the pipeline [3] New Tools and Innovations - Deal Desk, currently in beta, uses AI forecasting to optimize deals and improve performance, with Disney already utilizing this tool [5] - The integration of AI with Kokai has resulted in significant performance improvements for clients [2] Market Challenges - Intense competition from major players like Google and Amazon, as well as smaller companies like PubMatic and Magnite, poses a challenge to TTD's market position [6] - Macroeconomic uncertainties, including rising inflation and tighter marketing budgets, may impact ad spending and programmatic demand [6] Financial Outlook - For Q3 2025, TTD anticipates revenues of at least $717 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth [7] - Excluding U.S. political ad spend, projected year-over-year growth for Q3 is approximately 18% [7] Competitive Landscape - Rivals like PubMatic and Magnite are also focusing on innovation and partnerships to drive growth in the ad tech space [8][9]