TransDigm Group (TDG) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, th ...

Core Insights - TransDigm Group reported quarterly earnings of $9.6 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.78 per share, but showing an increase from $9 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -1.84% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.24 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.55%, compared to $2.05 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - TransDigm shares have increased approximately 27% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.6% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $10.61 on revenues of $2.43 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $37.30 on revenues of $8.88 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for TransDigm was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, to which TransDigm belongs, is currently ranked in the top 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks in this sector [8]

Group 1: Small-Cap Stocks Overview - Small-cap stocks are considered risky but can offer significant rewards, necessitating investor exposure [1] - A cautious approach is recommended, focusing on the right stocks and avoiding over-investment in any single stock [1] Group 2: Root, Inc. - Root, Inc. is a small insurance carrier with a direct-to-consumer (DTC) business that is gaining traction [2] - The company is expected to shift to profitability in 2024, which is anticipated to be sustained in 2025 [2][3] - Analysts forecast a 12-month stock price of $122.17, indicating an 11.31% downside from the current price of $137.75 [2] Group 3: Applied Digital Corporation - Applied Digital Corporation has shifted focus from Bitcoin to AI, aiming to build high-performance computing centers [7] - The stock is rated as a Buy with a 12-month price forecast of $10.67, representing a 58.26% upside [6] - Revenue growth is expected to sustain a moderate 30% pace for 2025 and 2026, with acceleration anticipated later in the decade [8] Group 4: Astronics Corporation - Astronics Corporation operates in aerospace and defense, with resilient demand from commercial and defense contracts [10] - The stock is currently rated as Hold, with a 12-month price forecast of $21.00, indicating a 30.48% downside from the current price of $30.21 [10] - Institutional ownership exceeds 55%, with buying activity ramping to long-term highs in Q2 2025 [12] Group 5: ThredUp Inc. - ThredUp Inc. is benefiting from AI improvements, leading to reduced costs and increased user counts [14] - The company expects to revert to growth in 2025, projecting a 10% revenue advance by year-end [15] - Analyst sentiment is improving, with rising price targets supporting market action [16] Group 6: Aeva Technologies - Aeva Technologies specializes in LiDAR systems, forecasting revenue growth of up to 100% in 2025 [18] - The company is expanding its manufacturing capabilities through new partnerships, which may sustain growth into 2026 [19] - Analysts have responded favorably, lifting price targets and increasing trading volume, with institutional buying spiking in Q2 2025 [20]

Core Viewpoint - TransDigm Group reported quarterly earnings of $9.11 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.85 per share, and showing an increase from $7.99 per share a year ago, indicating a positive earnings surprise of 2.94% [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $2.15 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 0.72% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $1.92 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, TransDigm has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - TransDigm shares have increased approximately 16.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a decline of 3.9% in the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $9.72, with expected revenues of $2.29 billion, and for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $37.09 on revenues of $8.86 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, to which TransDigm belongs, is currently ranked in the top 12% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks in this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact TransDigm's stock performance [5]