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QUBT vs. RGTI: Which Quantum Computing Stock Offers Greater Upside?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 14:40
Industry Overview - The quantum computing market is projected to grow from $3.52 billion in 2025 to $20.20 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 41.8% [1] - Key drivers of this growth include advancements in hardware, increased cloud-based accessibility, and rising investments from both private and public sectors [1][2] Government Initiatives - Government agencies are crucial in driving R&D funding and industry collaboration through initiatives like the US National Quantum Initiative Act and the EU Quantum Flagship Program [2] Key Players - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) and Rigetti Computing (RGTI) are identified as significant players in the quantum computing market [2] Technological Challenges - The quantum computing market faces technological hurdles such as qubit interconnection, decoherence, and external noise, which limit applications and scalability [3] Company Performance: QUBT - QUBT reported third-quarter revenues of $384,000, driven by R&D contracts and initial cloud access revenues [8] - The company raised $500 million in gross proceeds during the third quarter and an additional $750 million post-quarter, ending with $352 million in cash and cash equivalents [10] - QUBT's manufacturing strategy involves phased production through Fab 1 and Fab 2, aimed at scaling operations and improving margins [7] Company Performance: RGTI - Rigetti reported total revenues of $1.9 million in the third quarter, supported by government contracts and cloud-based services [12] - The company ended the quarter with $446.9 million in cash and no debt, indicating a strong financial position [13] - Rigetti's Fab-1 facility allows for end-to-end control over manufacturing, enhancing its ability to innovate and capture market opportunities [11] Financial Projections - For 2025, QUBT's loss per share is projected to be 15 cents, an improvement from a loss of 73 cents per share the previous year [14] - RGTI's loss per share is projected to be 68 cents, compared to a loss of 36 cents the prior year [17] Price Targets - The average price target for QUBT is $17.00, indicating a potential upside of 39.6% from the last closing price [20] - Rigetti's average price target is $37.56, suggesting a 52.1% upside from the last close [22] Conclusion - QUBT's integrated manufacturing strategy and early commercial traction position it well for growth in the quantum computing market [24] - Rigetti's full-stack approach and strong government contracts highlight its potential for innovation and long-term value [24][25]