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【互联网传媒】电商广告拓展下AppLovin 25Q1业绩超预期,出售游戏业务全面转型——美股互联网传媒行业跟踪报告(二十六)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-15 09:15
Core Viewpoint - AppLovin reported strong Q1 2025 earnings, exceeding market expectations with significant year-over-year growth across multiple metrics [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached $1.48 billion, a 40% increase year-over-year, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $1.38 billion [2]. - Net profit for Q1 2025 was $576 million, exceeding the expected $507 million, with a profit margin of 39%, compared to $236 million and 22% in Q1 2024 [2]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $1.01 billion, reflecting an 83% year-over-year growth [2]. Group 2: Advertising Business Growth - The advertising segment generated $1.16 billion in revenue for Q1 2025, a 71% increase year-over-year, accounting for 78% of total revenue [3]. - The Axon 2 AI-driven advertising engine significantly boosted ad spending on the AppLovin platform, increasing approximately fourfold since its launch in Q2 2023 [3]. - App Discovery platform showed improvement with a 49% year-over-year increase in net revenue per install and a 22% increase in installation volume [3]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its e-commerce advertising business, achieving over $1 billion in client spending and indicating strong growth potential [4]. - Although the number of monthly active paying users (MAPs) decreased by 16.7% to 1.5 million, average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) increased to $52 from $48 in Q1 2024 [4]. - 45% of Q1 2025 revenue came from customers outside the U.S., indicating room for growth in international markets [4]. Group 4: Business Focus and Divestiture - AppLovin agreed to sell its mobile gaming business to Tripledot Studios for $400 million, retaining a 20% equity stake, allowing the company to focus on its core advertising solutions [5]. - The divestiture is expected to optimize resource allocation and enhance focus on high-margin products and services [5]. Group 5: Future Guidance - For Q2 2025, the company projects advertising revenue between $1.195 billion and $1.215 billion, with adjusted EBITDA for the advertising business expected to be between $970 million and $990 million [6]. - The company plans to continue investing in innovations, including AI, and is making progress in the web-based advertising market, which is anticipated to represent 10% of total ad net revenue this year [6][7].