Company Performance & Strategy - Nomad Foods' revenue reached €3.1 billion in 2024, demonstrating a 6% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) [11] - Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) showed a 10% CAGR, reaching €1.78 in 2024 [12] - Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) exhibited a 7% CAGR, totaling €565 million in 2024 [12] - The company aims for 0-2% organic revenue growth and 2-6% adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025 [77] - Nomad Foods anticipates generating over €850 million in adjusted free cash flow over the next three years (2025-2027) [83] Market Position & Category - Nomad Foods holds the 1 brand preference in 12 out of 15 markets [19] - The company has a 46% weighted average value market share in its top 25 must-win battles [19] - European frozen retail sales amount to €55.4 billion, with food accounting for €39.2 billion and ice cream for €16.2 billion [15] - Meals made from frozen food cost €2-3 less compared to chilled equivalents [25] Innovation & Investment - Advertising and Promotion (A&P) spending increased by 14% year-over-year in 2023 and is projected to increase by 7% year-over-year in 2024 [38] - Innovation as a percentage of revenue is projected to reach near 5% in 2025 [41] - The company aims for 60% superior quality perception by 2025 and 80% by 2027 [43, 45]

Core Viewpoint - The current market environment favors stable earnings and strong cash flow, making Nomad Foods (NOMD) an attractive investment opportunity in the frozen food sector [1]. Company Overview - Nomad Foods is a leading player in the European frozen food market, owning brands such as Birds Eye, Iglo, Findus, and Aunt Bessie's, which provides it with durable pricing power and a loyal customer base [2]. - The company focuses on branded frozen foods across Western Europe, which has proven to be a lucrative business model during uncertain economic times [2]. Earnings Estimates and Growth - Recent earnings estimate revisions have garnered attention from analysts, with two analysts increasing their estimates for both the current and next year [3]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 EPS has risen from $1.95 to $2.15, and for 2025 from $2.11 to $2.31, indicating confidence in the company's near-term execution and long-term profitability [4]. - Nomad Foods is expected to grow earnings by over 11.4% this year and an additional 7% next year, which is strong for a consumer staples stock [4]. Valuation Metrics - Despite positive earnings revisions, Nomad Foods trades at a forward P/E of just 9.3x, significantly lower than the broader market and most consumer staples peers, presenting a compelling entry point for investors [5]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company has consistently converted a healthy portion of its earnings into free cash flow, allowing it to reinvest in growth, pay down debt, and return value to shareholders [6]. - Nomad Foods is positioned well in a market that rewards consistency and stability, making it an appealing investment choice [6].